We awake in the 🇺🇸 to another day of Russia losing their war in the 🇺🇦
Lots of questions about how can Russia lose when they have a much more massive force, so let me explain from my Army War College education
1.
strategic objectives must be supported by operation and tactical ones. If they don’t align it’s hard to win.
Take Iraq for example. Somehow out strategic objective became a friendly democracy in the Middle East, but would war be the operational way to achieve this?
2.
If Russia’s strategic objectives were to defeat Ukrainian forces in Russia populated areas and destroy Ukrainian military capabilities then that limited mission would have a chance for success.
3.
But if your strategic objectives are to seize Kiev and install a puppet government is a large scale military operations that unites the people against you the right approach?
The answer is no.
Which is why Ukraine will win Phase IV (stability) because they will fight!
4.
When we look at center of gravity analysis (COG) more problems emerge for Russia. Ukraine’s strength (COG) strategically is its international support that is only getting stronger, and it’s national unity.
Russian operations have actually strengthened resistance.
5.
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