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TheCableIndex is the data, research, and policy analysis arm of @TheCableng. We tell you everything about Nigeria — one list at a time.

May 11, 2022, 11 tweets

LOWDOWN: Wike, Atiku, Tambuwal, Saraki… enter the top PDP presidential contenders

1. NYESOM WIKE

AS THINGS STAND: TheCable projects that Wike will get the strong support of the bulk of the delegates from the south-south and south-east.

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2. ATIKU ABUBUKAR

AS THINGS STAND: TheCable projects that @atiku will enjoy backing of many PDP delegates from the north-east (his home zone), have a good showing in the north-central and secure respectable figures from the north-west, especially in Kaduna, Kano and Katsina.

3. AMINU TAMBUWAL

AS THINGS STAND: TheCable projects that Tambuwal will take a big slice of delegate votes from the north-west, his geo-political zone.

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4. BUKOLA SARAKI

AS THINGS STAND: TheCable projects that Kwara delegates are solidly behind him, and he is projected to get a decent number from Lagos and Osun states as well and a respectable number in two or three other states.

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5. PETER OBI

AS THINGS STAND: TheCable projects that Obi will get the support of Anambra delegates, although Wike has made weighty gains in the south-east.

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6. ANYIM PIUS ANYIM

AS THINGS STAND: TheCable projects that Anyim will get most of the delegate votes from Ebonyi, his home state. He has been seriously handicapped by the incursion of Wike into the south-east.

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7. UDOM EMMANUEL

AS THINGS STAND: TheCable projects that he will get the full backing of Akwa Ibom delegates.

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8. BALA MOHAMMED

AS THINGS STAND: TheCable projects that Mohammed will get most of the delegates from Bauchi state and have a share from the FCT, where he was minister for four years.

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9. MOHAMMED HAYATU-DEEN

AS THINGS STAND: TheCable projects that although it is yet unclear how many PDP power brokers are behind him, there is a high chance that Taraba state, where TY Danjuma, former army chief, comes from, will be in his corner.

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Other presidential hopefuls cleared by the party but whom TheCable projects would struggle to get a decent number of delegate votes are:

1. Dele Momodu
2. Sam Ohabunwa
3. Olivia Tariela
4. Charles Okwudili
5. Chikwendu Kalu

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TheCable projects that Ayo Fayose, the former governor of Ekiti state, will drop out of the race before the convention.

We will keep you updated as the intrigues continue…
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