Is #monkeypox an emergency yet?—“Monkeypox is mutating up to 12X faster than expected, amid warnings 🇬🇧 could see as many as 60,000 new cases a day” by 2022 end.
I think our projection (HT @JPWeiland) of 100k cases by August & 1 mil by Sept is realistic.
independent.co.uk/news/health/mo…
2) “While a surge to tens of thousands of daily cases in six months might seem exteme, scientists have found the virus appears to be mutating at an unusual rate…”
3) “In a study published in journal Nature Medicine, Portuguese researchers found samples of the virus had 50 mutations in its DNA compared to 2018. That’s between six and 12 times the number scientists would normally expect over the same time period.”
4) this is why I’ve been actively urging the @WHO to declare a PUBLIC HEALTH EMERGENCY OF INTERNATIONAL CONCERN (PHEIC). It’s damn time.
5) the @CDCgov is finally waking up and begun standing up a #monkeypox emergency operations center.
6) But what about the monkeypox vaccines? Well the US is only rolling out <300k doses for 150k people in the coming weeks. That won’t dent the epidemic that much for a country of 330 million people. The 1.6 million doses for 800k people will take many more months to arrive.
7) last week, @TheWHN aggressively declared #monkeypox a pandemic emergency— on June 22, 2022, a day before the WHO emergency meeting on the 23rd. Our goal was to urge WHO and others to act and prepare. WHO declined last weekend. I sure hope they don’t decline a PHEIC again!
8) the @WHO warns that 'sustained transmission' of monkeypox could see the virus move into high-risk groups, such as immunocompromised people, pregnant women and children. And it’s more severe in kids than adults. cbc.ca/news/health/wh…
9) “In an observational study of 216 [#monkeypox] patients in the Democratic Republic of Congo, the largest of its kind, **4 of 5*** pregnant women had miscarriages.”
HT @LaSeletzky
nytimes.com/2022/06/07/hea…
10) Worse, there could be chance of a triple whammy threat of not just COVID and monkeypox, but also an early influenza season that kicks in early in Sept instead of usual November. Watching. independent.co.uk/news/uk/home-n…
11) BREAKING — U.S. orders 2.5 million more doses of Bavarian Nordic's vaccine for #monkeypox— I believe for a total of 4.1 million doses on order if we combine with the previous 1.6 million doses ordered. reuters.com/business/healt…
12) This epidemiologist thinks TRIPLING IN TWO WEEKS is a very very bad sign.
13) Clarification on the #monkeypox projection model — @JPWeiland actually corrects for the early detection of cases that was not natural growth. So the current projections of 100k by August and 500k by Sept accounts for the initial bump. It could really that bad by end of summer
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