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Conflict Intelligence Team. Donate: https://t.co/mRXiR6CXvP Русская версия: @CITeam_ru

Jul 5, 2022, 5 tweets

Last month Ukrainian intelligence reported that Russia is forming a "3rd Army Corps" in Mulino, Nizhny Novgorod region.

We can now confirm this is indeed the case.
ukrinform.net/rubric-ato/351…

In the past few weeks we've seen several trains in Russia with military vehicles, presumably taken out of storage.

Per the Russian Railways database, they were all heading to Mulino.

Later, a Russian military source confirmed to us that a "3rd Army Corps" was indeed being formed in Mulino, that hosts a known military base

We don't know whether 1st or 2nd Army Corps are being formed: they might be those in Donetsk and Luhansk "people's militias" respectively

The Ukrainian intelligence assesses the future strength of the corps as 15.5 thousand. It will presumably be staffed largely with "volunteers" brought in by lucrative contracts offered by the Russian military.

We assess that the corps could join the war in Ukraine within the next few months.

It remains to be seen if it will be fully staffed or if the training and equipment will be of sufficient quality.
/🧵

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