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CIT (en) Profile picture
CIT (en)
@CITeam_en
Conflict Intelligence Team. Donate: https://t.co/mRXiR6CXvP Русская версия: @CITeam_ru
9 subscribers
Oct 31 • 12 tweets • 5 min read
Brief Overview of Frontline Changes Over the Past Month 🧵
In the Sumy direction, the frontline did not change significantly in October. Russian forces made minor gains near Volodymyrivka and Varachyne, while intense fighting continues near Yunakivka 1/12Image In the Kharkiv region, activity has increased near Vovchansk. The RuAF have secured the territory of the oil extraction plant, crossed the Vovcha River and are trying to advance further south along the railway. To the southwest, assault groups have reached the outskirts of Synelnykove 2/12Image
Oct 27 • 4 tweets • 3 min read
In the Dobropillia direction, Ukrainian forces have continued mopping-up the northern part of the salient over the past few days. They have fully liberated the villages of Kucheriv Yar, Sukhetske and Zatyshok and have advanced near Nove Shakhove 1/4 Image Ukraine’s General Staff acknowledges the extent of Russian infiltration into Pokrovsk, saying at least 200 RuAF soldiers are now inside the town 2/4 Image
Image
Sep 8 • 5 tweets • 2 min read
🧵1/ In the Pokrovsk direction, the AFU have recently begun actively counterattacking in the Dobropillia breakthrough, advancing near the villages of Razine and Novotoretske. It appears that Ukrainian forces intend to cut off the main part of the Dobropillia salient along the Kazenyi Torets River by advancing from the north and south. The AFU also likely cleared another section of the salient west of Kucheriv Yar and south of Zolotyi KolodiazImage 2/ Near Boikivka, a Ukrainian soldier used a ruse to eliminate two Russian servicemen. Knowing Russians moved in small, disconnected groups, he pretended to be one of them. Gaining their trust, he followed them off open ground, then shot both. His actions aren't considered a war crime, as he wore no enemy uniform or insigniaImage
Aug 6 • 8 tweets • 3 min read
🧵1/ CIT records the highest number of civilians casualties since january 2024 for two months in a Row. Attacks and shelling on both sides of the frontline in June 2025 killed at least 282 civilians and wounded a minimum of 1,972 Image 2/ The situation worsened in July, when 335 people lost their lives, almost 19% more than in June. 2,228 civilians were injured, marking a 13% increase Image
Jun 24 • 13 tweets • 3 min read
For those who somehow missed our piece on T-90M MBTs or don't have time for longreads, here are key takeaways from the research👇
🧵1/12 Image 2/ Before T-90M serial production began in 2020, Uralvagonzavod had produced between 120 and 150 original T-90 tanks, along with roughly 280 T-90A models
Jul 2, 2024 • 17 tweets • 7 min read
The partial lift of the ban on the use of Western weapons on Russian territory has proven life-saving for Kharkiv. Lifting remaining restrictions would provide even greater protection 1/17
🧵👇
notes.citeam.org/lift-the-ban-g… One month after the start of the Russian offensive on the Kharkiv axis, the US has relaxed restrictions on the use of precision weapons against targets on Russian territory, allowing the use of HIMARS MLRS rockets in Russian regions bordering Ukraine 2/17
politico.com/news/2024/05/3…
Mar 22, 2023 • 7 tweets • 3 min read
1/7 In Jan. 2023, photos emerged of Russian MT-LB armored vehicles modified with naval anti-aircraft weapons. Different types were identified by different heavy machine gun or autocannon deck mounts. We expect them to be used as self-propelled AA systems
notes.citeam.org/tankenstein 2/7 Photos from mid-Jan. 2023 show 3 types of modified vehicles:
- with a 12.7mm DShK M1938 HMG;
- with a 2M-1 twin 12.7mm DShK(M) deck mount;
- with a 2M-7 twin 14.5mm KPV deck mount
Aug 27, 2022 • 5 tweets • 2 min read
In the past few months, we and other analyst have watched the formation and training of Russia's 3rd Army Corps, first publicly reported by Ukrainian intelligence back in June.

Now it is being deployed to the Ukrainian border.

1/5
 te.legra.ph/Russia-transfe… Photo and video evidence shows trains with a Buk air defense system and T-80BV and T-90M tanks. Per Russian Railways database, they are heading deployed from Mulino, 3rd AC's training base, to the Ukrainian border close to Taganrog, Rostov region.

2/5
Jul 18, 2022 • 4 tweets • 3 min read
Lieutenant General Rustam Muradov was officially announced as commander of Russia's Group of Troops "East" when Shoigu paid a visit to the group's command center

Previously Muradov was in command of Russia's peacekeepers in Karabakh

He was reportedly wounded earlier in this war ImageImage Muradov is the third known Russian Group of Troops commander, with Colonel General Aleksandr Lapin in command of Group Center, and Army General Sergey Surovikin — Group South

The groups roughly correspond to peacetime Western, Southern, Central and Eastern military districts ImageImage
Jul 5, 2022 • 5 tweets • 2 min read
Last month Ukrainian intelligence reported that Russia is forming a "3rd Army Corps" in Mulino, Nizhny Novgorod region.

We can now confirm this is indeed the case.
ukrinform.net/rubric-ato/351… In the past few weeks we've seen several trains in Russia with military vehicles, presumably taken out of storage.

Per the Russian Railways database, they were all heading to Mulino. ImageImage
Jun 27, 2022 • 5 tweets • 2 min read
We have new information on changes in Russian command.

According to our sources, Western Military District commander Aleksandr Zhuravlyov and his chief of staff Aleksey Zavizion are both out, the former replaced by Andrey Sychevoy, ex-commander of the 8th Army. We have no information as to where they were transferred or why exactly they were dismissed from their posts, but the Central Military District forces have suffered defeats at Sumy and Kharkiv and most recently showed a lackluster performance south of Izyum.
May 27, 2022 • 4 tweets • 1 min read
More information on this order, which we have seen and studied.

Military district commands are ordered to create tank and motorized rifle reserve battalions on the basis of each regiment and brigade.

Some will employ older vehicles, for example BMP-1 infantry fighting vehicles. Those battalions are created on the basis of "third battalions", that are used to train conscripts and thus haven't been engaged in Ukraine.

They will be supplemented from those who signed voluntary contracts during a recent recruitment drive and personnel from other subunits.
May 16, 2022 • 7 tweets • 2 min read
Last week, all eyes were on Russia's big parade in Moscow, which featured much fewer vehicles than last year, those missing presumably engaged in the war in Ukraine.

But, as @tom_bullock_ noted, a lot more information can be gleaned from smaller, regional parades.

So we did. Our volunteers painstakingly counted the vehicles on parades in 20 cities across Russia and Crimea.

Analysis of this data shows that every broad category of vehicles (tanks, AFVs, artillery, AA systems) were represented in fewer numbers, and in some cases, not at all.
Apr 8, 2022 • 9 tweets • 4 min read
Today, a Tochka-U missile impacted near Ukraine-controlled Kramatorsk railway station in the eastern Ukrainian Donbas region, reportedly killing dozens.
facebook.com/story.php?stor…

The damage is consistent with a 9N123K cluster warhead. Image The rocket booster's alignment suggests the missile could come from the southwest.

@mod_russia claims it came from Ukraine-contolled Dobropillya. However, there are Ru/separatist positions within Tochka range in that direction.

Missile launches were also seen SE of Kramatorsk. Image
Apr 4, 2022 • 7 tweets • 4 min read
You may be familiar with these satellite images of a mass grave in Bucha, the town northwest of Kyiv which was the site of horrific mass killings. We decided to contextualize these images:
The mass grave is visible in a March 21 Planet satellite image, which shows that it grew since the March 10 Maxar image was taken. Notably, both images are from long before the Russian troops left Bucha.
Apr 4, 2022 • 4 tweets • 2 min read
Analysts and intelligence services warn that the troops Russia has pulled out of northern Ukraine will likely redeploy to the country's east.

These BMD-2 airborne fighting vehicles, filmed in Belarus, are indeed going to Stary Oskol next to eastern Ukraine, per rail tracker data Another train, this one carrying T-72B3 tanks, was filmed near Moscow going to Valuyki (next to eastern Ukraine) from Elnya, the base of the 59th Tank Regiment and a pre-invasion staging ground of the 41st Combined Arms Army

Apr 3, 2022 • 8 tweets • 3 min read
Our team is horrified at the images of mass killings of civilians coming out from Bucha and wider Kyiv region.

We strongly believe the killings were carried out by Russian servicemen and will do our best to assist the investigation and bring the perpetrators to justice. The killings follow a pattern of witness accounts and footage coming out of Kyiv region during the fighting and occupation.
hrw.org/news/2022/03/3…

An important part in the investigation would be to establish specific units involved in the occupation.
Apr 2, 2022 • 4 tweets • 2 min read
Yesterday, after the attack on a fuel storage facility in Belgorod, Russia, local media reported that an allegedly Ukrainian missile struck south of the city.

We geolocated a video of the incident and can confirm the missile came from the north-east (i.e. Russian territory). The size of the crater and the missile (relative to the electric poles) suggest that it may have been a 9M728 cruise missile from a Russian Iskander-M launcher.

Ukraine hasn't used cruise missiles in the conflict, and a ballistic missile would have come from Ukrainian positions.
Mar 20, 2022 • 4 tweets • 2 min read
We have gathered more evidence that Russia is still moving troops and vehicles towards Ukraine.

While the apparent scale of the movement is lower than the pre-invasion buildup, it is nevertheless concerning. In addition to combat vehicles, we can see various engineer and support equipment being moved, like military tow trucks to evacuate disabled or abandoned vehicles, as well as pontoon equipment which is essential as Ukrainians blow up bridges to halt Russian advances.
Mar 10, 2022 • 6 tweets • 3 min read
We can now confirm that Russia is using incendiary bombs on Chernihiv.

Today's post by @SESU_UA shows personnel defusing an airdropped bomb, that appears to be an OFZAB-500 fragmentation high explosive incendiary bomb facebook.com/MNS.GOV.UA/pos… A few days ago OFZAB-500 bombs (correctly ID'd by @idzanagi4) fell on Chernihiv together with a Russian Su-34 jet shot down over the city. Back then we were unable to confirm that the city indeed was its intended target.
Mar 8, 2022 • 5 tweets • 3 min read
This Pentagon source certainly surprised us and other researchers, because recently more tanks, self-propelled guns and other armored vehicles were observed moving on trains towards Ukraine.

In one particular instance, we traced a train seen in Belarus to Cheryoha station, the base of the 104th Guards Air Assault Regiment of the elite 76th Air Assault Division.