Thread by @JominiW

1/ Ukraine SVKO, Day 124-148. Russian Strategic Aerospace Operations (SVKO) remains focused east of the Dnieper River, particularly in north central Donetsk Oblast and along the Black Sea Coast in the Odesa region. #UkraineRussiaWar

2/ Russian Aerospace Forces (VKS) have been conducting an extensive suppression of enemy air defense (SEAD) campaign for the past 3-4 weeks here with little results. Air engagements between VKS & Ukrainian fights in the Odesa region has led to minor losses on both sides.

3/ It is likely the Russian MoD intends to severely weaken Ukrainian Air Defenses in the south to allow for VKS air & missile strikes to have greater latitude in interdicting the flow of military supplies from west Ukraine into the east.

4/ VKS & Ukrainian Air Force sorties remained focused on the Sloyansk-Siversk-Bakhmut Line of Operation with the Ukrainians still able to run intercept missions beyond the Russian forward line of troops.

5/ HIMARS have been successfully integrated into Ukrainian SEAD operations and have allowed for the effective targeting of Russian supply depots deep in the Russian Rear Area. Ukrainian HIMARS & UCAVs will continue to target Russian rear areas to impede Russian resupply.

6/ Russian aerospace forces will carry on their SEAD campaign in southern Ukraine while simultaneously continuing to strike Ukrainian logistical infrastructure to slow the forward deployment of Western weapon systems & new units along the front.