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PLC
No one special

Jul 30, 2022, 10 tweets

In the United States, some states (particularly in New England) have boosted ~50% of their population. Other states (particularly in the southeast) have boosted less than 20%. The gap is even larger when looking at early childhood vaccinations or second booster doses.

Surely, the states like VT, RI, or CT that are most bought-in on covid vaccination will have fewer deaths, overall, than the backwards anti-vax states of the South such as AL, MS, or Georgia.

Luckily, the CDC provides all-cause mortality graphs...

Here's Mississippi, with just 52% vaccinated, 21% boosted and less than 1% of young children vaccinated.

No excess mortality, at all, in four months. Must be an outlier, I guess...

Look at the most vaccinated stated in the country, Vermont: 82% fully vax'd, 52% boosted, 12% of young children vax'd.

Well, that's strange - they have high and persistent non-covid excess mortality. Weird.

Must be another outlier...

How about Alabama, the least vaccinated state overall?

Huh, they also have had no excess mortality in four months, just like Mississippi:

What is going on in Rhode Island? Our second most boosted state is seeing rapidly rising non-covid excess mortality. In fact, these are the highest weekly deaths, excluding covid, that Rhode Island has ever seen.

Is there a pattern emerging?

Check out Georgia, another southern anti-vax state, with just 1% of young children vaccinated, just 22% boosted and just 5% having received a second booster.

Just like MS and AL, there have been no excess deaths in many months (and recent weeks are extraordinarily low):

Connecticut, on the other hand, is displaying a pattern just like VT: persistent, high, maybe even rising excess mortality - but not from covid.

I think a real pattern is emerging...

For some unknown reason, the most vax'd states in the USA are experiencing high excess non-covid mortality while the least vax'd states are seeing below-normal deaths.

It can't just be a dry tinder effect because CT and RI have had high covid deaths... what could explain it?

Source for excess death graphs is the CDC:

cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr…

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