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Aug 9, 2022, 27 tweets

My daily update! #ukrdailyupdate

So many things went kaboom!

If you would like to view the map, here is the link: google.com/maps/d/u/0/edi…

Today I read rumors that Ukraine has captured Bairak in Kharkiv (1). I have not seen confirmation of this, so I have not put the town in Ukrainian control on the map, but I have marked the area as contested.

Russia has been increasingly aggressive in the Siversk area over the past few days. Today they launched small attacks on Verkhnokamyanske (2) but failed.

Russia performed recon around Ivano-Darivka (5) and Vesele (6) and launched attacks into Ivano-Darivka (3) and Spirne (4). Both of these attacks failed to make significant progress.

Russia performed reconnaissance around Yakovlivka (7), attempting to find a way to flank the town. Russian forces are applying increasing pressure and could develop a foothold soon (8).

In Soledar, Russian forces captured the Knauf Gips factory and expanded their control north by 4 or 5 blocks (9). Ukraine tried to assault Soledar to drive the Russians back out of the town, but these attacks failed.

It appears that most of the Ukrainian forces are moving southwest to protect the route to Bakhmut, and Russian forces are following them in that direction (10), but first, they will have to fight their way through Bakhmutske.

Around Bakhmut proper, Russian forces sent reconnaissance towards Pidhorodne (11), a small town between Bakhmutske and Bakhmut.

They also sent recon towards Bakhmut (12), and I believe they made it as far as the winery before being driven out (A). The main Russian force is currently a few hundred meters east of the Ceramic Pipe factory (B).

Russian Forces are advancing on Vesela Dolyna (14), but I do not believe fighting has reached the town or even the outskirts yet. I think the front line is near the electrical substation (near the arrowhead), which caught fire today.

Today Russia captured Vershyna (16), and they are now attacking Zaitseve from two angles (15,16).

There is heavy ongoing fighting around Kodema (17). Both Kodema and Zaitseve are heavily fortified.

I have heard from multiple Russian sources that Russia is running critically low on infantry around the Donetsk area, but they still have enough to continue their assaults.

Russia is attacking Krasnohorivka (18), and I have heard rumors that they have made some small degree of progress towards the town.

Russians claim their attack on Avdiivka had minor success today (19), but I see zero evidence to back this claim.

In Pisky, Russian forces are stuck fighting in the residential area of the town (20).

Russian forces are attacking west from Staromykhailivka (21).

In Marinka, Russia captured a small amount of land on the eastern side of the town (22). This area was a significant stronghold for Ukrainian defenders.

Russia will now have to move through the no man’s land of the middle of the town to drive Ukrainians out of the western side. Doing so will not be easy, especially if you do not have enough infantry.

South of Donetsk, Ukrainian shelling struck and destroyed a Russian ammunition warehouse in Volnovakha (C).

In the Hulyapole area, Russia has been sending reconnaissance toward Velyka Novosilka (23) and Vremivka (24). As a result, I have marked Neskuchne as contested.

In Zaporizhzhia, fighting in the areas of Dorozhnyanka (25), Nestrianka (26), Shcherbaky (27), and Pyatykhatky (28) is heating up. Russia is trying to slow the Ukrainian advance using airstrikes.

This morning, Ukraine attacked and destroyed an ammunition warehouse in Oleksiivka (D), near Crimea. Note how far back this is from the front line.

In Crimea, the Russian airbase in Novofedorivka exploded (E). The exact cause is unknown.

If you listen to the Russian military, they destroyed the airport in an unfortunate accident. So, if you believe their story, this damage was caused by their total incompetence and inability to form a professional military force.

The Ukrainian military claims this airbase was destroyed by Ukrainian-made weapons. That seems far-fetched but possible.

Russian propagandists blame sabotage.

The internet and western observers believe Ukraine used ATACMS ( Army Tactical Missile System), long-range missiles fired by HIMARS of M270 MLRS. They have a range of around 300km.

No matter the cause, the damage seems substantial. There were potentially dozens of aircraft located at this base, including many of the most modern jets in the Russian air force with a combined value of over 2 billion dollars.

This video showing damage to the parking lot shows the full extent of the damage to the facility.

That is all I have for today.

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