The US saw Russia using nothing but golf carts and ladas in Ukraine and said fuck it, we're going on all in. We're cancelling all armor procurement. Battle golf carts are the future. Who needs firepower when you have bags of meat strapped to a go-cart? Many Americans will die, and that is a sacrifice the Army is willing to make. Drive the golf cart full steam into a drone swarm. The guys in the back will have tons of ability to shoot back before they die, since there will be no walls or doors to get in the way.

Interesting uptick in Russian dive bomber drones recently. I've wondered why they were developed then suddenly disappeared. They always seemed the most effective type of drone. Russians are using dive bombers to destroy vehicles. Much more efficient than suiciding the drone and deals the same damage.

Sitting here listening to a news report from the 1970s where the police broke into the wrong house in a police raid, where every American was... normal. They were outraged, they wanted immediate accountability and changes to the law. And then congress... changed the law. Apparently the US had a functional society at some point. Literally in 4 days there will be a major supreme court case in the US about this. That law from the 70s, the federal government has basically declared the law doesn't count. On Tuesday, four days from now, there is a Supreme Court case where the courts will decide whether that law written by congress is going to be followed or whether the judiciary gets to invent their own laws and ignore congress.

I see several things happening in Ukraine right now:

1: Ukraine has pivoted to a drone based defense. Most of the gains you see Russia making right now are coming as a result of one of two things. A: Inferior Ukrainian drone units or B: Overwhelming Numerical Superiority. When I say an inferior drone unit, I do not mean the pilots are bad, or even necessarily that their construction is bad. It could be as simple as not having access to enough drones, or not having enough pilots. I simply mean the unit isn’t strong enough for the task.

I started the weekend with like 40 days of backlog. Ugh. I did 19 days. Meh. Here are the days.

Here are losses for February.

First, the total losses by category. You see significantly more losses for Russia than for Ukraine. This is the first month where Rubicon played a significant part of the Ukrainian losses. Roughly 17% of Ukraine's losses in the month of February were from Rubicon (328 out of 1965). Primarily in Kursk.

While Trump’s team spreads defeatism and tries to blackmail Ukraine into surrender, Ukrainian soldiers on the battlefield remain unimpressed by the proclamations coming out of Washington Oblast.

Their actions speak louder than words. In recent days, Ukraine has:

Recaptured Kotlyne
Liberated Pischane
Pushed into Shevchenko

These gains prove two critical points.

Europe could have invested 1-2 hundred billion dollars over the past 3 years, but instead they will have to invest 3-5 trillion over the next 20. I’ve talked about this many times in the past. The politicians made very unwise decisions because they were afraid. Should have gone 100% all in on making Ukraine win from day 1. Full on everything. It would have fixed every problem. Countries still aren’t even doing this. Every single day you delay will cost you 100 or 1000 times more over the next few years.

There is absolutely no reason for Ukraine to negotiate with Russia, at all, for any reason, in the year 2025. Any negotiations should start in mid 2026, when the Russian economy has imploded, their deficits are blasting off to the moon, and Russia can no longer fight. Every country should be looking at the situation like this: we only have to get ukraine through the next 12-18 months. We need to throw in the money, weapons, and ammo available now to make this happen. This is not a forever war. There is 1 year left. We are 75% done.

This little bulldozer effectively negated the impact of the russian airforce on the Ukrainian supply lines south of Kostyantynopil. Russians were dropping tremendous numbers of bombs in an attempt to destroy the bridges, and this little guy is out here rebuilding them and getting rid of craters. It took a solid hit from a FPV Drone, but the driver wasn't there when it happened. Little guy denied the impact of the airforce for a few thousand dollars. This is why Engineering fundraisers are vital.

Here you can see some of the airstrikes.

Russians will tell you they want peace.

They do not.

The Russian government believes peace is submitting to their will and becoming a slave. And any slave who disobeys must be destroyed.

Russians do not want peace. They want to rule.

The Russian government must be destroyed

The American people said “we don’t like inflation!” and had a choice between two presidents.

Option A said their goal was to attack the source of inflation so the economic conditions that lead to rapid rise in costs wont happen again.

Option B said their plan was to increase inflation by at least 50%.

And America voted for option B. You have to understand the consequences of your actions here. You had one political movement that wanted to shift focus away from corporations and onto the people. You may not have liked everything about the current state of that movement, but the movement existed.

Sources like warspotting and lostwar withhold losses from their counts when they are not clearly identifiable. Ukraine has pivoted to using heavy bomber drones to destroy vehicles, and posts tremendous numbers of losses per day using this method.

https://twitter.com/Rebel44CZ/status/1876534886313705788

Due to thermals and top down view these losses are only very rarely counted. And when they are counted, it can be many months later when alternate footage appears.

THE UKRAINIAN DRONE HAS TWO SHOTGUNS. im giggling

Kurt Company says they have killed 51 and wounded 57 Russians this month. These guys are situated near Kurdyumivka, and are repelling Russian assaults across the Severskyi Donets canal. I have personally seen about 25 of those 51 killed on video, and I've geolocated around 15.
Ukrainian positions in this area are very well designed, which contribute substantially to their ability to defend. We've seen Ukrainian defenses in other areas, often superior positions, with vastly inferior design and construction fall within minutes or hours.

We have significant map updates. West of Velyka Novosilka the Russians have advanced across two farm fields.
Link: map.ukrdailyupdate.com/?lat=47.826774…

btw, a huge fraction of the damage we see done every day is not done by fpv drones, it is done by drone dropped bombs. In particular, the heavy bombers like vampire, kazhan, and nemesis. The r18 is getting increasingly popular. And we see more avengers but those are very rare. avenger is a fixed wing bomber that carriers, i think, 5.5kg payload. most commonly the loadout is either 2-4 medium sized bombs or like 5-8 smaller bombs that it drops as a carpet bombing type thing. It is hard to aim because it is a level bomber. A dive bomber would be better

Ukraine has two extremely toxic problems that should have been addressed a long time ago, but never were.

First, there is this pervasive idea that being mobilized into the military is basically a death sentence. Which is entirely untrue. Second, there is this idea that once mobilized, you can no longer contribute to the economy. This is asinine. Of course they can. There are many models of mobilization that allow people to keep their jobs and continue working while also being trained.

For the people who somehow do not understand Russia’s motivations:

Putin got sad he wasn’t allowed to have a puppet state in Ukraine, so he threatened them to remind the world how powerful Russia is.

It is that simple. Putin is a low IQ thug. Ironically, through attacking Ukraine, the world has seen how weak Russia is, and as a result Putin has lost sway over basically everything he ever cared about. Especially Syria.

I believe that the persmision to shoot ATACMs into Russia and the 24 billion dollar aid package for next year both either came from Trump as his idea or were Biden's idea with Trump's blessing. I also think the escalation that Putin has been attempting to achieve over the past 2 weeks is coming as a result of some backchannel negotiation that went sour between himself and Trump.

The news coming from the Velyka Novosilka area is very bad. There is no way to sugar coat it, the area has reached crisis and needs immediate intervention. In short, Velyka Novosilka is the anchor of the southern defensive line. The line that runs from the Dnipro river to the east towards Donetsk. The Zaporizhzhia line. This west to east defensive line effectively ends in Velyka Novosilka. (note my map hasn't updated for the changes today)