Thread by @AndrewPerpetua

I haven’t posted an update in a few days. Many things happened, some of which I will talk about and some I will not. Some areas changed a lot, others not at all. I will step around the map slowly.

If you would like to view the map: google.com/maps/d/u/0/edi…

I heard, without details, that Ukraine changed its deployment in the Kharkiv area. Russian sources claim Ukraine plans to attack north up the E105 toward Velyki Prokhody, Mali Prokhody, Dementiivka. I have no reason to believe this is accurate, but I figured I would mention them.

I do not know the current status of Udy or Sosnivka. Russian propagandists claim Russia captured both, but I have not seen any evidence. Videos emerged of Russia patrolling north through Udy with weapons at the ready.

It is unknown when the videos are from, but patrolling *north* through the town implies that they suspect Ukrainians to the north, which I don’t think is good evidence that Russia captured Udy. Ukrainians claim Udy remains contested.

I have even less information about Sosnivka, where I have seen no real reason to believe Russia captured the town. For now, I have marked both towns as contested, which could change with more information. By the way, I marked contested areas yellow.

The areas of Tsupivka, Dementiivka, Velyki Prokhody, Borshchova, and Male Vesele have all been contested for some time now. Vesele may also be contested.

I know Russians attacked west from Yurchenkove and Vasylenkove, and I know Ukrainians have been operating around the Pechenihy dam, so I have marked all the areas east of Pechenihy and Bazaliivka and south of Lebyazhe as contested. Today Russians remotely mined Lebyazhe with MLRS

I do not know who controls Mykolaivka, but I know an anti-tank mine exploded when a farmer struck it with his combine harvester. If I remember correctly, sappers did not find more mines. The presence of sappers implies Ukrainian control, but maybe the sappers immediately left.

The area around Hrakova, Ivanivka, Mykhailivka (another one!), Volokhiv Yar, and Semenivka is a bit of a question mark. Ukraine attacked these towns numerous times in the past, and they could control one or all of them. I choose to draw the map conservatively.

South of Balakliya, Russia attacked Husarivka today (1). Ukrainian defenders repelled the attack. I believe Bairak and Nova Husarivka are both contested, meaning Russia passes through these areas to attack Husarivka.

Keep in mind the brown areas are minefields.

I do not have much to say about the Izyum, Slovyansk, or Siversk areas.

Russia had no significant success in the Bakhmut area this week. Russian soldiers claim Ukraine rotated out the soldiers fighting in Soledar and replaced them with fresh soldiers who have superior training, better equipment, and are much more aggressive.

They note that these new Ukrainian forces perform a more active defense, actively hunting down and destroying Russian positions rather than passively defending against assaults.

From what I understand, the fighting in Soledar has moved closer to the Knauf Gips plant, which Ukraine is heavily shelling. Russian forces primarily attack south (4) and west (3) from the plant. Which is another way of saying Russia is attacking Bakhmutske.

Russian and Ukrainian sources claim Russia is still pushing minor assaults into Soledar proper, which I assume must come from the area of the gypsum mine (2).

There is ongoing fighting around Bakhmut (5), Vesela Dolyna (6), and Zaitseve (7) without notable changes. There is heavy fighting south of Kodema (8), and I believe Ukraine only controls the northern side of the town. The southern part is contested.

West of the *other* Zaitseve, Russia is attacking Mayorsk from the east (9). Mayorsk is a heavily fortified train station that Ukraine has held for years. The area to the east of the train station consists of multiple thin forest strips before reaching the train station.

South of New York, a few days ago, Russian sources claim that Ukraine pushed the Russian forces out of the middle part of Novoselivka, limiting their control to the southeast portion of the town near the bridge.

I do not know if Ukraine attacked from the north or the west. I have marked the majority of Novoselivka and the area north as contested.

Russia attacked Krasnohorivka today without success (10). Notably, all Russian attacks on this town have been total failures. They have achieved absolutely nothing after weeks of almost daily assaults

Russia also attacked Avdiivka, but I have no information about the attack (11)

Two weeks ago, Russia took control over the nursery south of Opytne and briefly captured a part of the town. Ukrainian terodefense forces counter-attacked and drove them back out, an absolute feat of heroism.

These are light infantry that lacks heavy weapons, so pushing the Russians out of the town is a significant accomplishment. Russia attacked the Opytne again today (12).

It is worth noting that the entire area south of Opytne is an unmarked minefield, partly laid by Ukrainians and partly by Russians. Nobody knows where the mines are, and it is dangerous to move through.

From what I understand, the last Ukrainian forces pulled out of Pisky yesterday, but Russia is still afraid to enter most of the town. Ukrainian mortars and Russian artillery control the area; it is a no man’s land.

Russia focused on capturing the ring road area southwest of Pisky (13). It is a heavily fortified defensive position for Ukraine and difficult to assault. Russia has to capture this area before they can begin their assault on Pervomaiske since they have failed to capture Pisky.

Russians are continuously trying to push west to Nevelske (14), and frankly, I am not sure how far they have gotten at this point. The map currently represents the last geolocated position I found, which is almost two weeks old.