Alastair Thompson Profile picture
Climate, Conflict, Politics, Africa. Editor https://t.co/b6HbxvlPDn (NZ) Reporting from France. https://t.co/LNVK0y9b2z #nzpol #DesertRain

Oct 20, 2022, 6 tweets

On its current track forecast it looks like its remnants will head into he Southern US, but much depends on the intensity #Roslyn develops and its speed of movement. Some model runs have shown remannts re-emerging in the Gulf - but this is unlikely,

Latest complete run of the GFS3 model IWVT - integrated water vapour transport via @weathermodels_

In the latest GFS3 run the low center survives passage over Mexico into Texas where it turns into a storm that runs up through the Mid-west into Canada.

rainfall solutions over 200 hours in North and Central America.

Note that there is yet another #Tehuantepec wind gap event expected during this period which is clearly visible in the rain image over the Gulf of #Tehuantepec.

The PWAT version of the #roslyn texas mid-west transit event.

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