Thread by @ThreshedThought

It seems like the Russians really have ballsed up their withdrawal

They had to announce it because they were pulling out of territory that they’d previously annexed (and were claiming as Russian territory)

But it seems like they hadn’t actually told all their troops

And, as we know, retreating is the hardest military manoeuvre to carry out.

Much harder if you announce it before hand.

So now we have the situation where Russian troops are jamming the crossing by points and getting shelled by the Ukrainians.

They can’t get out fast enough.

Ukraine has taken back tens of villages.

And is supposedly on the outskirts of the city of Kherson itself (with special forces already inside).

This looks like it a turning into a rout.

I’ll update this as we go forward. Things are moving very fast.

It feels weird tweeting this. I’ve been tweeting about Ukrainians designs on Kherson since May or June and here we are.

Good for them.

OMG.

Dig a little deeper and some of the *Russian* sources are saying that there at c.20k Russians stuck on the wrong side of the river.

Wow.

Reports of panic spreading

The Russian pocket on the West Bank is collapsing super fast.

Ukrainians are advancing on three sides

Today is gonna be ABSOLUTELY WILD

More reports of Ukrainians shelling the crossing points. Russians trying to get across on boats etc

Here are some basic geographical facts. The black line is where the front line will shortly be running along the river Dnipro. Obviously attacking across that will be a mission for the Ukr. But look: The Ukr are already over the river further to the E enabling them to hook round

Antonovsky bridge dropped.

Ukr flag raised in centre of Kherson by civilians

Like that Ukr units are already in Kherson

Ukrainian troops in the centre of Kherson.

Ukrainian infantry being hugged and kissed by civilians in Kherson’s main square

Now the mop up of Russian soldiers who didn’t manage to get out

And once that is done, it will free up a lot of Ukrainian combat power - I wonder where that will be going?

Here is where it is going

The Kimburn peninsula. Ukr just launched an amphibious assault. If they can hold this bridgehead then they can flank the Russian defensive lines.

Boom. The next move.

I thought it would be left flanking. But it was right flanking.

Smart.

More I think about this though … this is the diversion. Main thrust still by Zaporizhizhia. Like this.

Ok. I’ll do another thread later today. Some big moves coming up.