Thread by @tomhwilliams23

There’s still time for you to read our @notts_stats report

It includes all the key stats, player reports and tactical information

I’ve also included a short thread on some #Iron analysis🧵

nottscountystats.com/post/preview-s…

The first thing I noticed is Cook has the freedom to step out of defence. Scunny are reluctant to press, and don’t seem to have the team shape to prevent these runs from deep. Cameron should have no difficulty stepping out of defence and progressing the ball

One area we have to be careful with is the high line. Their goal against Wealdstone comes from a clever run in behind. However, we do tend to hold a higher line than this; either Slocombe would sweep up or one of our CBs would have the required recovery pace to get back

Something we mentioned in our @notts_stats report is their vulnerability to cut backs from the byline. Here Wealdstone are able to get in behind their defence with ease. TAR or Nemane will be able to get to the byline and cut it back into dangerous areas

Here we see Wealdstone build from the back like we will; Scunny won’t press our CBs. We also see them stay compact like Yeovil did, forcing us to go wide. However, unlike Yeovil they aren’t very strong in 1v1 situations down the flank. This allows frequent crosses

Look at the sheer amount of bodies. I’d expect them to go with a similar tactic to Yeovil, packing their box with bodies. Whilst they aren’t as organised as Yeovil, the sheer number makes it difficult for shots to get through. Plenty of blocks expected

Here’s another example of the ball to back post causing havoc. If we are able to get in behind their full backs, which I feel we will, we have the opportunity to hit the back post.Chicksen in particular will be the main target here, as the forwards drag defenders to the near post

Perhaps unsurprisingly Butterfield is their danger man. He presses high here, despite it being late one, and helps to force the mistake. He then grabs the game by the scruff of the neck, going alone and almost scoring. If Notts stifle him Scunny will struggle

This sequence of play seems reminiscent of how Notts like to play. I’d expect to see Palmer or Ruben drop slightly deeper to receive the ball, but due to their low block have more space to drive into. Clever runs and passes like this could unlock their defence round the sides

If Notts play the same way they did against Yeovil they will beat Scunthorpe. Not only do I feel the quality Yeovil have is higher, but the sheer amount of quality chances dictates Notts will score. A season high xG of 3.93 suggests goals will come