Callum Thomas Profile picture
Head of Research, Founder: @topdowncharts Global Macro & Asset Allocation Research (tweets = not advice) NOTE: I will never DM you -- beware of scammers.

Dec 24, 2022, 13 tweets

Weekly S&P500 #ChartStorm time!!

$SPX $SPY $ES_F $VIX $STUDY

Slightly different format than usual given quieter time-of-year: focusing on some of the more timeless charts of the ChartStorms of the past year or so... 🤓🧐🤔

1. Plenty of folk out there telling you to buy and hold and dollar cost average and focus on the long-term

Which is all well and good, but just be mindful that lost decades are actually relatively common...

h/t @MikeZaccardi chartstorm.substack.com/p/weekly-s-and…

2. Long-Term Perspective on S&P500 earnings

Yes it's out of date, but the key takeaway is that overall longer term -- the trend is your friend. But also note the cycles around the trend (the cycle is an active investors best friend!).

h/t @SamRo chartstorm.substack.com/p/weekly-s-and…

3. Another long-term perspective...

Buffett made his first billion in his early 50's, wasn't until he was 65 that he would make his first 10 billion.

h/t @DividendGrowth chartstorm.substack.com/p/weekly-s-and…

4. Long-Term Shifts...

The US stock market went from 15% of global equity markets in 1899 to 56% in 2021.

What will the next 122 years bring?

h/t @MacroAlf chartstorm.substack.com/p/weekly-s-and…

5. Index (no)Effect

Used to be that when a stock got added/deleted from an index you'd see a big bump/dump, no more.

Perfect example of a market anomaly getting arbitraged out of existence.

h/t @drtimedwards

6. S&P500 Labor Intensity

"In 1986, it took 8 employees to generate US$1 million in revenue. Today, the S&P 500 is 70% less labor intensive than it was in the 80s"

h/t @ISABELNET_SA chartstorm.substack.com/p/weekly-s-and…

7. CEO Pay of S&P500 Companies

Snapshot is from a year or two ago, but pretty interesting to see the clustering, range, and tails of the distribution...

h/t @chriswmayer chartstorm.substack.com/p/weekly-s-and…

8. Computers vs Humans

Apparently computers manage more AUM than humans...

h/t @StatistaCharts chartstorm.substack.com/p/weekly-s-and…

9. Founders vs Flounders...

Founder-led companies have historically outperformed the rest. Makes sense.

h/t @_inpractise chartstorm.substack.com/p/weekly-s-and…

10. Interesting food for thought on founders...

"the older you are, the more likely you are to succeed as a startup founder" (sweet spot seems to be 50's).

Not only is it never too late to start, it might even be better to start later.

h/t @ASvanevik chartstorm.substack.com/p/weekly-s-and…

Weekly ChartStorm write-up will be published soon...

Meantime be sure to subscribe: chartstorm.substack.com

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