Slightly different format than usual given quieter time-of-year: focusing on some of the more timeless charts of the ChartStorms of the past year or so... 🤓🧐🤔
1. Plenty of folk out there telling you to buy and hold and dollar cost average and focus on the long-term
Which is all well and good, but just be mindful that lost decades are actually relatively common...
Yes it's out of date, but the key takeaway is that overall longer term -- the trend is your friend. But also note the cycles around the trend (the cycle is an active investors best friend!).
Retail implied allocations to gold (via ETFs) are still at the bottom of the range, barely moved [despite gold breaking out to new all-time highs, and beating stocks YTD, up more than 10%]
"so who's buying then?"
chart @JanGold_ via @HumbleStudent
@JanGold_ @HumbleStudent Retail/ETFs again...
This time *Flows*
Despite a stunning breakout, no flows.
Gold previously topped out and took a breather when ETF flows got overheated. No risk of that right now...
Welcome to the inaugural MONTHLY ChartStorm — basically a digest of some of the most intriguing charts of the past month from the (now paywalled) Weekly S&P500 #ChartStorm
1. Allocations vs Sentiment
Despite some of the most bearish sentiment readings in recent history, investors only slightly reduced equity allocations. And now they're reassessing the situation...
Learnings and conclusions from this week’s charts:
1. April marks the 4th month in a row that the S&P500 closed above its 10-month moving average. Yet, the index remains below key overhead resistance levels.
2. We are heading into a seasonally sloppy patch for stock markets globally.