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Jan 17, 2023, 10 tweets

#offshore deepwater drilling - look back at the previous cycle peak/near peak (late 2013) $OIH $RIG $NE $VAL $SDRL 1/10

Rising DRs & utilization similar to the current cycle but new rig orders MIA/asset values muted. With supply side frozen (except a few stranded rigs) + utilization tightening expect asset values to start driving the equity bus. Headroom up to fair value sizeable 2/10

Floater demand 3/10

NCS demand 4/10

Floater utilization 5/10

Deepwater asset values 6/10

Deepwater dayrates 7/10

New orders 8/10

Newbuild activity 9/10

Drillship orderbook (wtf!) Lava Jato responsible for a slug of this 10/10

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