Talha Ahmad Profile picture
| Student of Knowledge | Freelance Journalist | Bylines on FP & IR for @dailytimespak | | CT and Security | | GeoPolitical Analyst |

Jan 20, 2023, 19 tweets

India-Israel Joint attack on Pakistan Nuclear Facility [Thread]
(Based on True events)
India has outmatched Pakistan in every other department from the conventional military to the economy but this is one of the few where Indian couldn't beat Pakistan. -1/17

The Jets in the #MissionMajnu trailer reminded me of this most significant but unpopular event of the 1980s. India conducted nuclear tests in 1974 which jeopardized security of the region because of imbalance of power. President Zulfiqar Ali Bhutto authorized the project -2/17

establishing the foundations of Pakistan's most critical, crucial and consequential program. Meanwhile, In 1980 Israel adopted begin Doctrine under which it will not allow any enemy country to obtain nuclear weapons. It focused on carrying out preventive strikes against -3

nuclear facilities under a counter-proliferation policy. At that time Pakistan's overwhelming support for the Palestinian cause and to Arab world during the Arab-Israel placed Pakistan in the category of enemies of Israel. Under the begin Doctrine IDF carried out air raids -4

on the Iraqi Nuclear facility in Osiraq, Iraq in 1981. Israel planned to carry out similar strikes on Pakistan's nuclear facility located in Kahuta, Punjab, Pakistan. Kahuta was close to the Indian border and the lack of air defence put Pakistan in a bad security situation -5

based on a 1979 report by then PAF Air Chief Anwar Shamim and President Zia ul Haq advised PAF to strategies a counter-retaliatory strike on India’s nuclear research facilities in Trombay. For that PAF needed new aircraft and selected F-16, due to USSR-USA conflict -6

President Zia was able to get the deal done for new F-16 Fighter Jets. Pakistan received 2x F-16A and 4x F-16 B in early 1983. Meanwhile on the other side of the theatre, In Feb 1983 Indian officials travelled to Israel to discuss strategy and plan to neutralise the threat of -7

Pakistan going nuclear. On 25 February 1983, Indian prime minister Indira Gandhi accused Pakistan of covertly attempting to make nuclear weapons. After months-long consultation Plan was finally designed under which -8

6x IsAF F-16s and a few F-15s will be shifted from Haifa over the southern Arabian Sea into Jamnagar, Gujrat, Punjab, India.
The IsAF F-16 strike and F-15 CAP aircraft would then move from Jamnagar into Udhampur where previously IsAF C-17s would waiting -9

with a cargo of deep penetration and detonation weapons. With the Himalayas, aircraft would enter Pakistan air space in combat formations to deceive the radars. In March 1984, Indian PM Indira Gandhi signed off the Israeli-led operation targeting Pakistan's nuclear facility -10

But before the mission, Pakistani Intel picked up the plan. President Zia authorized counter-retaliatory strikes on Indian Bhabha Nuclear Plant, Trombay and the Israeli nuclear plant at Negev. The message was also sent to world capitals including Tel Aviv and Dehli. -11

that Pakistan will retaliate and the result would be devastating. State Department also received credible intel reports containing satellite images then State Department sent a msg to both not to carry out air raids against the nuclear facility, which also left India with -12

little space for the operation. But one of the messages to Dehli was sent through the Former head of PAEC and Nuclear Physicist Munir Ahmad Khan. He is also cited as the "Father of Pakistan's nuclear program". Diplomat Abdul Sattar was briefed and later delivered the message -13

to Munir Ahmad Khan. During a conference on nuclear safety in Austria, Munir Ahmad Khan invited Indian physicist Raja Ramanna for a dinner at the Imperial Hotel where MA delivered the message about a possible retaliatory nuclear strike at Trombay. Raja Ramana delivered the -14

message directly to the Indian Prime Minister's Office. This was one of the reasons why President Zia used to respect and admire Munir Ahmad Khan despite his political tilt towards Bhutto/PPP. After the death of President Zia, Dehli and Tel Aviv again tried to pull this off -15

then PM Benazir Bhutto passed the same orders of retaliatory strikes to COAS Aslam Baig. (Will write separately on that). The change in power corridors did not introduce any change in the nuclear policy eventually Pakistan carried out nuclear tests on the 28th of May 1988.-16

References
1. “Deception: Pakistan, the United States, and the Secret Trade in Nuclear Weapons” by Adrian Levy
2. Compulsions of Power by Ashfaq Hussain
3. Kahuta by Saghir Iqbal
4. The war that never was by Ravi Rikhye
5. Sattar, A., Munir Ahmad Khan Memorial Reference, 2017

Here are a few additions to the objections.
1. Bharat Karnad has mentioned about C-17 either he has confused it with the C-130 or just randomly wrote about the jet.
2. The plot is evolving but the dates mentioned also have references and fit in with the timeline of events.

3. As for the F-16 and Mirage, the PAF chief is quoted as
“The Indian aircraft can reach the facility in three minutes whereas the PAF would take eight minutes,” said the air chief, “[This will] allow the Indians to attack the facility and return before the PAF can defend it.”

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