Thread by @AndrewPerpetua

Some news from the past few days. First, the Kupyansk area:

Russia has claimed to have capture Hryanykivka. The most reliable account I have is from a Russian officer in the area who claims they broke the first line of Ukrainian defense.

The narrow river allows Ukraine to counterattack from Dvorichna. This could explain the difference in perspective where Russia could claim control over the town of Hryanykivka while simultaneously believing they only penetrated the main line of defense. Both can be true.

Russians are also attacking Synkivka, which will become the primary focus of attack in the coming days. Russia will then shift their focus south to Petropavlivka and attempt to push toward Kupyansk. This is their stated goal, which they hope to accomplish in the next 2 weeks.

In the Kreminna area, Russia is attacking west from Chervonopopivka toward Nevske and west from the Dibrova area toward Terny, Yampolivka, and Torske. They are also attacking south from Kuzmyne toward Serebryanka.

The fighting in this area is very intense, and it is difficult to gauge what is happening due to the thick pine forest. There are rumors of successful Ukrainian counter attacks in this area. Likely, the ground is going back and forth with little overall change.

In the Siversk area, there is ongoing fighting around Bilohorivka, Verkhnokamyanske, Spirne, Vyimka, Rozdolivka, and Fedorivka. I don't know of any changes in this area.

There is contradictory information about the area north of Bakhmut. First, the parts everyone agrees on: Russia captured Paraskoviivka. They are attacking Berkhivka. They are attacking the forest north of Berkhivka and the area south of the M03 highway north of Berkhivka.

Now, for the controversial parts. I have multiple sources confirming to me that Ukraine attacked and pushed Russian forces out of the area of 2nd Ushakova street.

Others claim Russia has pushed all the way through this entire northern portion of Bakhmut down to Yahidne. I haven't seen evidence to support this.

In the west of Bakhmut, Russian attacks have reportedly slowed in number and intensity. They are attacking along Gorky Street, Dobroliubova Streete, and Ivana Franka Street.

Several days ago Ukraine launched a successful counter attack to clear Chernyshevskoho street, Dobroliubova Streete, and Ivana Franka Street of Russian forces. It is unclear to me whether Ukraine held these streets or pulled back out after the attack.

I have seen rumors that Russia has pushed Ukraine back to Vulytsya Abrykosova. It is possible, but it goes directly against what my sources have told me.

South of Bakhmut, Ukraine reportedly completed a successful counter attack in Opytne, clearing two blocks of the town. It is possible Russia has recaptured one of these blocks.

West of Bakhmut, Ukraine successfully counter attacked south of Chasiv yar, clearing about 1-2km of forest from Russian control. Russia is attempting to take this ground back, and are also attacking Ivanivske.

Overall, the western, southern, and eastern parts of Bakhmut are relatively stable. The northern part of Bakhmut is under threat.

In the Avdiivka area, Russia is having success near Novobakhmutivka and Vesele.

Russian forces captured and cleared Ukrainian trenches in the western side of Novobakhmutivka (including an infamous video posted by Russians of them murdering wounded Ukrainian soldiers). They are now fighting in the western outskirts and towards Oleksandropil.

Near Vesele, which is a town so small it isn't labelled on the map, Russians have crossed the main highway, coming from Novoselivka Druha. Russia was determined to make this advance and suffered enormous casualties in repeated assaults, but they have in fact made progress.

After massive shelling, Russia is assaulting the southern part of Avdiivka. I don't see much realistic chance for success in an assault here.

West of Avdiivka, Russia is attacking north from Vodyane toward Sjeverne. Reportedly they have minor progress.

Russia is attempting a breakthrough in Nevelske. They are reportedly calling up reinforcements to continue their attack. I don't know of any progress in this attack, and it has been going on for several days now.

In Marinka, Russia successfully attacked a pig farm north of the city. They are also attempting to attacking Pobjeda south of the city. They are attempting to surround Marinka to force Ukraine to withdraw.

I stopped here for a reason, because all the info I have about Vuhledar is unconfirmed rumors. Russian sources I have speak of successful Ukrainian counter attack in the the Mykilske dachas.