Thread by @SethAbramson

America needs to understand that much of Trump’s 2024 platform is unstated.

He is running in significant part to pull the United States out of NATO and help Putin with his genocide in Europe.

The MAGAs understand this. I do not think major media does yet, and that is dangerous.

A win for Donald Trump in 2024 is a win for Putin, and Trump is making damn sure Putin understands this so that Trump can get clandestine election aid from Russia starting immediately. We are already seeing Trump friend and quasi-business partner Erdogan blocking NATO expansion.

Erdogan is in part acting out of his own self-interest—his relationship with Putin and his upcoming Turkish elections—but if past is prologue Trump and his agents are in contact with Erdogan and have made clear Trump (like Putin) doesn’t want NATO expansion to Finland and Sweden.

The false media narrative that Trump’s 2024 campaign is weak—in fact, almost nothing and no one can stop him from becoming the 2024 GOP nominee and he knows it—hides what is almost certainly Trumpist outreach to other countries for clandestine (and illegal) election assistance.

Trump stands to get aid from eight countries we know he’s previously secretly sought illegal election aid from: Russia, Hungary, Turkey, Israel, China, Saudi Arabia, Egypt and the UAE. Two of those nations are already blocking NATO expansion in a way that pleases Trump and Putin.

Every contact between the Trump family and foreign nationals from these countries must be scrutinized to within an inch of its life because the family has a history of seeking and accepting illegal election aid from these nations. And Trump *must* win in 2024 to stay out of jail.

It’d be *astounding* to any Trump biographer if the Trumps hadn’t already made overtures to foreign nationals for illegal 2024 election assistance. I’m sure many of you noticed the line in Trump’s CPAC speech in which he confessed he promised China many things if he won in 2020.

So the real impact of the dubious narrative that an entirely charisma-less and base-less Ron DeSantis can beat Donald Trump in a GOP primary, despite Trump already having 30%+ of the vote locked up, is that major media is *ignoring entirely* what Trump is doing behind the scenes.

During the 2016 presidential election cycle, Trump began his outreach to foreign nationals the year *before* the election—2015. And he had far less to lose in 2016 (as compared to now) if his presidential bid failed. So you can bet your ass 2023 is a big year for Trump collusion.

So every article about Nikki Haley or Mike Pompeo or Ron DeSantis should instead be an investigative report on 2022 and 2023 contacts between the Trump family and foreign nationals. Because Trump is the presumptive 2024 GOP presidential nominee *according to basic election math*.

At present, the only way for Putin to win in Europe is for Trump to become president and pull the United States out of NATO. There is no other credible path to victory for him. So what do you think Putin is going to be willing to do to make sure Donald Trump is president in 2025?

The conventional wisdom among Democrats is that Donald Trump can’t beat Joe Biden. I even think there are Democratic leaders who don’t want to see Trump indicted because they’re so certain Trump will lose in 2024. What they forget is that this may not be a free and fair election.

In 2024, Joe Biden will simultaneously face all of these opponents:

🔴 Trump
🔴 Elon Musk and permissive policies on deepfakes
🔴 8 foreign nations
🔴 Insurrectionist GOP state legislatures
🔴 SCOTUS
🔴 A possible third-party bid
🔴 New voter suppression laws
🔴 DNC incompetence

If I were Biden and had political advisors telling me that 2024 will simply be a re-run of the 2020 election despite the fact that Trump may now literally be running for office to stay out of jail, and despite us being in a post-January 6 state of insurrection, I would fire them.

I do believe that Biden can win in 2024. But I think there is a nearly endless obstacle course of unprecedented maneuvers between the United States and that eventuality. The things Trump and certain foreign nations will do to stop Biden will be unlike anything we’ve seen before.

As a Trump biographer I’ll mention another thing, which is that I expect Trump’s VP-selection process to have only one step: picking someone so crazy that if Trump is elected the Democrats won’t want to replace him with his VP. So yes, Kari Lake and Marge Taylor have a good shot.

Remember that this is the *fourth* presidential run for Trump, and he has never come *close* to winning the popular vote. And he does not expect to win it now.

He can pick whoever he wants as VP because he believes that if he wins it will be by means other than the popular vote.

The babble about potential Trump competitors in the GOP primary will continue ad nauseam because that’s how these things are conventionally handled by media and it’s good for ratings anyway.

But the real story is how Trump and his agents are preparing to steal the 2024 election.

Imagine a situation in which only 20% of the videos of Biden that voters see online are actually of Biden, and far-right robber barons like Elon Musk aren’t willing to do anything about it because all the deepfakes—many of which are a foreign origin—benefit the party he supports.

Imagine a scenario in which we again see Trump collusion with Russia, China, Israel, Egypt, Saudi Arabia and the UAE but media is afraid to report on it even in the paltry, insufficient ways it did in 2015-6 and 2019-20 because it fears financial repercussions from conservatives.

Imagine a well- and long-planned “Independent State Legislature” case—one involving GOP state legislatures trying to overrule the 2024.presidential vote of their voters—going before the most conservative and activist Supreme Court in American history in November or December 2024.

Imagine insurrectionists across the country so convincingly threatening violence at polling places in 2024 battleground states that it keeps independent and Democratic voters from the polls *just enough* to give Trump a victory in those states he would not have gotten otherwise.

Imagine a return to the *planned* 10-hour voting lines in majority-minority precincts in battleground states that we saw in 2004, all of which were carefully orchestrated by Republican secretaries of state who thereafter faced no consequences, and indeed were lionized by the GOP.

Instead of investigative reports about how to get a free and fair election in the midst of an *ongoing insurrection*, what we’ll get from major media over the next year are endless “horse race” stories about polls we already know are mathematically (and historically) meaningless.

Trump and his agents, allies, advisors, attorneys, aides, acolytes and assorted family members have so successfully moved the Overton Window in America that US media has been lulled back to sleep—daily normalizing what (again) is an active, ongoing, wildly dangerous insurrection.

Meanwhile, cadres of moronic Democratic political advisers are trying to convince everyone that a 2024 win against Donald Trump is a slam dunk and therefore it’d be (I see red even just typing these words) better for America if Trump faced *no consequences* for any of his crimes.

The 2024 presidential election season has begun.

The only consequential figures involved in it as candidates are Joe Biden and Donald Trump.

Everyone in media and every voter must wake the hell up to how dangerous things are in America right now.

And they’ll get *worse*. /end