Prof. Christina Pagel Profile picture
Prof Operational Research @UCL_CORU, health care, women in STEM. Member of @independentsage. chrischirp at bluesky. https://t.co/nNW5zMenx2

Aug 14, 2023, 7 tweets

SHORT THREAD on current state of the NHS in England:

TLDR: Ambulance response times improving, A&E improving but still bad, diagnosis and treatment waits are not good.

First - ambulance response times higher than pre-pandemic but way down on their peak - thankfully! 1/5

% of people waiting >4 hours from arrival in A&E to either admission *or* discharge is falling but higher than pre-2020.

A *bit* better than 2022.

% waiting >12 hrs *after admit decision* falling.

BUT % who need admission waiting more than 12 hrs from *arrival* is v high 2/5


However, record number of people waiting for treatment in England, >7.5 million!! One in eight of population!

We are making progress in reducing number waiting more than 18 months at least and increase activity, but waits for ops after cancellation are higher than pre-2020. 3/5


Relevant to decision to cancel some cancer time to diagnosis targets are our poor performance in both seeing people for an urgent cancer diagnosis within 2 weeks and in starting treatment within 2 months. 4/5


More generally, number of people waiting for diagnostic tests more than 6 weeks, or worse, 13 weeks, remains much higher than pre 2020.

So in total, imrpovements in the emergency areas (which you'd hope for summer!) but NHS remains very very stretched. 5/5

PS Thank you, as ever, to Bob Hawkins for pulling out the data & doing the charts!

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