Bachman Profile picture

Jan 30, 2024, 14 tweets

"Equatorial Guinea would be a mess if Lynn were right"

"They wouldn't be able to maintain anything"

I'd kill for a @kunley_drukpa thread on "What scientists say Africa would look like if Lynn's data were accurate"

This is a funny argument. It misses the fact that you'd also have a small number of 100 IQ kleptocrats just competent enough to bring in oil and gas majors and then rug them once a cycle, while keeping the masses in squalor. Hey, wait a minute...

Guys who attempt this reductio ad absurdum have clearly never lived in Africa. There are a dozen guys within ten blocks of our house who live in *perpetual stupor*. Just...sitting on the ground and staring...for years.

Now, might the real number be closer to 70 than to 59? Of course. I'd bet on it. But these guys aren't mad about the difference between 59 and 70, they just want the topic to...go...away.

People so often misrepresent Lynn's data that I thought it would be worth checking the actual source for Swann's claim. Let's check Lynn's latest (2012) compilation of estimates. Oh, look, Equatorial Guinea estimated at 69, not 59 🙄

In addition to getting the national estimate wrong, Swann also acts like Lynn was unaware of Equatorial Guinea's large positive GDP residual. Actually, Lynn devoted entire chapters to these residuals


Lynn knew his lit reviews were imperfect and fragmentary, which is why they took up entire books. Anyone who cared to read them would learn that Lynn's estimates accord quite well with other indices of human development (here, Lynn 2012):

Weird week. Never would have imagined that a couple of midsized normie accounts would be inviting exegesis of Bryan Pesta admixture regressions and Richard Lynn IQ appendices. Maybe next week JoJoFromJerz will ask about Gray Wolf fixation index

This is another funny "gotcha". When a Census worker fails to survey a block in Camden, NJ, do they just say "Oh well!" & then it's anybody's guess as to whether that block might be full of hedge fund managers instead of people very like their neighbors?

Oh well, nevertheless...

Lol, @SwannMarcus89 got this claim wrong too. Lynn couldn't have asked for a better Simplicio.

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