Jakub Janovsky Profile picture
Military history, SCW, OSINT, space, electric cars. NATO/EU supporter. Former Bellingcat contributor. Oryx Blog Administrator. https://t.co/8gzCIdzfzB

Mar 4, 2024, 10 tweets

/Thread/Rant/
About expanding the Ukrainian mobilization and gross incompetence in the management of some parts of the military:

1. Delaying expanding mobilization because it will be unpopular is beyond idiotic - you will still need to do it later anyway and by delaying the decision you will meanwhile take more casualties and lose more territory than you otherwise would

because understrength units will take more casualties.

In fact, severely understrength units are at risk of collapsing - just like Russian units did in Kharkiv in September 2022.

Everyone delaying expanding the mobilization is at best a short-sighted idiot.

2. MoD should have started ages ago making firm mobilization plans in coordination with other relevant ministries (finance, industry, etc.) to ensure that the expanded mobilization is effective and orderly

3. UA MoD needs to take a very hard look at all those hundreds of thousands who are reported to be in service outside of combat areas - I have heard too many stories from Ukrainians about how especially the National Guard service

and all its many BS positions (useless checkpoints, military doing things that civilian institutions can handle, and acting like facility security at locations that don't need any or only a tiny security force) are being used to avoid being deployed into combat.

4. Fixing that can actually reduce how many people you actually need to mobilize - and many of those in safe areas have training that would allow for them to be deployed either immediately or at least without multi-month training.

5. Ukraine would also benefit from a better organized mobilization process. Instead of randomly sanding over papers, send letters/SMS/emails to those you want to mobilize, and those who don't turn up within the specified period should be immediately arrested

(not just asked to show up later) if encountered by law enforcement/military.

6. Ukraine should also demand deportations of those who left the country with documents exempting them from military service they weren't eligible to get - so either fakes or obtained via corruption.

7. The Army needs to (and should have done so months ago) establish and properly equip specialized engineering units for building proper fortifications - not just have deployed units do it with whatever people they can spare - often without proper resources and planning.
/end/

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