🚨HOLY SHIT🚨
That's the biggest rise in covid positivity in a single week for nearly two years. 😮
That's a 54% leap.
I flipping told you 😮
This is going to be a very nasty wave.
flu and covid report:
assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/66337699…
The UKHSA is completely asleep at the wheel.
Drunk even.
It's just crazy, I thought that there was a bit of a spike going on based on the number of people I had heard of who were ill.
But if that same % increase happens next week, and then it increases at only 1/2 the rate the following week, it'll be the biggest wave in two years.
And this is the start of term.
There are no natural breaks for another three weeks.
Shit.
This is nasty.
Just to explain this graph... this is the *previously dominant variant family* JN.1
That isn't *the number of cases*
It's the *share of cases*
When this variant dropped to 50% of cases, the new ones took over... and started this wave.
Some of them are growing in cases at lightning speed:
This is their fortnightly growth rates:
This is a lungs and heart wave.
Listen out for sirens.
Always feels a bit weird to be so precisely accurate:
The timing is like clockwork, predictable from the shape of jn.1's chart three months ago.
The only surprise to me is that it's still V70/H69- not V70/H69+.
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