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tern Profile picture
tern
@1goodtern
kindness, science, hope.
128 subscribers
Dec 14 • 19 tweets • 4 min read
Hmmm.
There's something more than a little concerning about what's happening with Norovirus here.

A quick thread about Norovirus and its place within in the 'quad-demic'.
🧵 Graph of norovirus cases from 2012 to present day. The peaks come in Spring, the troughs come in Autumn. The side before Covid peaks at about 200-300. The side after Covid peaks 400-450. And this year hasn't necessarily peaked yet. Take a look at those black vertical lines.
That's the stage of the year we're at now in terms of data (the third week of November). Graph of norovirus cases from 2012 to present day. The peaks come in Spring, the troughs come in Autumn. The side before Covid peaks at about 200-300. The side after Covid peaks 400-450. And this year hasn't necessarily peaked yet.
Dec 9 • 22 tweets • 2 min read
When you see people posting that 2024 is going to be the hottest year on record, bear in mind that there’s an extra factor in there.
It’s not just about the temperatures.
The atmosphere’s capacity for heat energy is also increasing as global humidity levels rise.
🧵 Image Let me explain why that's a big deal:
Dec 6 • 20 tweets • 2 min read
This is a good point, and it illustrates the degree to which the powers that be are concerned with *crisis points*.

A quick thread on golf clubs.
🧵 As Cat rightly points out, Covid numbers have been high ALL YEAR.

But, in the eyes of politicians, the numbers have not been high enough at any one point to 'overload the system'.
Dec 4 • 4 tweets • 2 min read
Every now and then I check back in on the progress of this graph of the proportion of 5-9 year old boys dying in England and Wales.

I keep wondering if that straight rising line that has been maintained for three years will stop rising.

It hasn't yet. Image That's not the whole of the story of the last ten years, but it's the story of the last three.

Mortality rates in that age group had been generally dropping and dropping.

Then covid was allowed to run rampant, and since then, it's been one direction. Image
Dec 4 • 4 tweets • 1 min read
Do you know who is most likely to experience a drug resistant infection?

Someone with immune dysfunction.

Why?
Think of it like a team effort.
When you start taking antibiotics, it's you AND the antibiotics fighting the infection. But if your immune system is not pulling its weight in the fight, or if your body isn't distributing the antibiotics effectively throughout your body, or if your body's nutrient levels mean you're not producing the right building blocks for your immune system to work...
Dec 3 • 21 tweets • 2 min read
In 2021 in England, public health decided that the way to get well was to get sicker, and that the way to get rid of disease was to catch it.
It's official policy.
They write it down and everything.

Since then... Multiple infections showing huge spikes since 2021 And they're not all coming down. All of those graphs are on the same timescale.

For some of them, the data only starts in 2021 - before then, they were rare, but are now becoming more and more commonplace.
Nov 26 • 25 tweets • 4 min read
Aargh.
So here we are again with a government white paper about bullying <checks notes> sorry, encouraging people who are long term sick into work.

Let's break some of this malicious incompetence down into bite sized chunks so we can understand it...

gov.uk/government/new… What's the heart of the problem?

The heart of the problem is here: its employment rate fall over the last five years, which has been largely driven by a significant rise in the number of people out of work due to long-term ill health
Nov 24 • 25 tweets • 13 min read
A few of the people who were involved in administering the government response to the pandemic really didn't like having to do it.
And they especially didn't like how so many officials would say one thing privately and one thing publicly.

So they kept notes. I've been sent quite a few of those notes in the last year, and the sad truth is that I just don't have time and energy to work through them all, but having seen those six videos from the UK Covid Inquiry, I feel the need to dig out one transcript that I've had for a while.
Nov 23 • 5 tweets • 1 min read
Now, look at this one closely. It's Covid admissions in Scotland over the last nearly five years. It's displayed by age bands.

Look at the youngest age group, 0-18s.

Then look at the graph in the next post... Image The proportion of all admissions for Covid that are people under the age of 18. Image
Nov 21 • 26 tweets • 3 min read
A quick thread about the 'horrible illness' that a load of people have described having in late 2019/early 2020... I don't like to assume that it was Covid or that it wasn't Covid.

But I've seen a lot of people say that they think the virus they had that winter *was* Covid.
Nov 17 • 8 tweets • 1 min read
What the f*k.

"Scientists want to know whether the virus could cause heart defects"??

Scientists *KNOW* the virus can cause heart defects at birth 🤬🤬 Covid-19 virus could increase the risk of children being born with heart defects Huge study of 18 million births found the proportion of babies born with a congenital heart abnormality increased by 16% after the first year of the Covid pandemic "Covid-19 virus could increase the risk of children being born with heart defects
Huge study of 18 million births found the proportion of babies born with a congenital heart abnormality increased by 16% after the first year of the Covid pandemic"
Nov 17 • 28 tweets • 3 min read
I think that for a while we've been going through a phase where the term Long Covid has been developing a mixed usefulness. In theory the term is used to refer to any health condition caused by a covid infection that you have three months after the infection, and that lasts for at least two.
Nov 16 • 6 tweets • 1 min read
I had an afternoon with two people with Long Covid, and it was interesting how they described it. One describes it straight up: "I've got Long Covid".
Nov 15 • 30 tweets • 2 min read
Ahead of a potential bird flu pandemic, I would give one specific warning:

Be *very careful* about whom you trust for information. For a start, don't believe anyone who says "the way to not catch respiratory infections is to cover your mouth when coughing".
Nov 14 • 13 tweets • 1 min read
I've seen a couple of recent takes saying that people who consider covid to still be a problem are essentially antivax, because they don't trust the vaccine to deal with the problem.

That's obviously nuts, but let me just break it down into words one syllable: Jabs don't stop long sars.
Nov 13 • 10 tweets • 1 min read
When a medical professional writes "Covid Anxiety" on your chart, this is what it stands for: A - Aware of your body and changes in health, because you are the one who knows what you're going through each day.
Nov 12 • 10 tweets • 2 min read
Another kick in the balls study.

"We found that having a prior PASC (post acute symptom of Covid) increases the chances of having more PASC in subsequent infections."

🚨🚨The risk of Long Covid increases with each infection🚨🚨

medrxiv.org/content/10.110…Image "This could be due to long-haulers’ inability to mount an appropriate, timely immune response to clear the COVID-19 infection each time, leading to greater susceptibility to developing PASC in subsequent infections." Image
Nov 11 • 6 tweets • 2 min read
I think this is a comparison worth looking at.

Deaths of 5-9yos in Finland on the left, deaths of 5-9yo boys in England and Wales on the right.

I don't have the data for 2005-2015, as Ilkka does for Finland, but I've kept the timescale the same on the chart for comparison. Image
Image Similar trends in other age groups here too. Image
Nov 10 • 36 tweets • 2 min read
Ten Reasons doctors don't know about the long term effects of Covid infections: 1
They don't want to know.
Nov 9 • 13 tweets • 1 min read
There would be absolutely no sacrifice involved in cleaning the air in schools and hospitals. There would be no imposition on the public.
Nov 9 • 49 tweets • 4 min read
Oh my word.
I've had a realisation about one of the sliding doors moments in the pandemic.

I had a chat with a consultant anaesthetist a couple of months ago when he asked me why I wore an ffp3 mask, and a couple of things he said in reply didn't make sense. His words had been bouncing round in the back of my head all this time, then I saw something today that made complete sense of them.