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eversciencer
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May 10 34 tweets 6 min read
Here's a question about Covid.

Are Things Getting Worse?

Do you think things are getting worse or better?
📈🧵 You probably wouldn't have thought so from the way everyone is acting or talking.

But...
May 10 22 tweets 3 min read
People just don't seem to understand the significance of this.
Do we have to explain everything?

Not only is the 50% increase in sickness absence hurting efficiency, the sicknesses *cost money to treat*.

If this is representative of the population, it suggests huge increases in healthcare needs and costs."Sicknote Britain: Doctors are getting sicker"  24 graphs showing the different reasons that doctors in English hospitals and healthcare settings are taking sickness absence.  18 of the graphs have increased significantly since pre-pandemic levels. If people are *off sick* 50% more, that's a pretty strong indicator that people are *sick* 50% more.
May 8 57 tweets 11 min read
Arg. I'm just going to bash through a messy thread.

I've been whacking my head against this data for three months after looking it up, and it's only got worse for the last three months.

It's about that question "are people still getting sicker".

Summary in the next tweet... Basically, I'm starting to think that there's a trend of sickness absence worsening since 2020, but that *2022* was an outlier.

So things gradually get worse 2020, 2021, 2023, 2024...
May 7 11 tweets 2 min read
👀
Insurance News:
"Reacting to a troubling rise in chronic illnesses among younger Americans, two organizations... have joined forces to form a new initiative... to help insurers better support policyholders before they become critically ill."
😮
insurancenewsnet.com/innarticle/par… Read it.
It's all the health problems caused by Covid infections wrapped up into one health insurance news story.
👀

Thanks to @MeetJess and @acrossthemersey
May 7 18 tweets 2 min read
I guess most western people seeing the name 'Operation Sindoor' will think it's just a dull neutral military name, but oh boy it is not. 👀

Sindoor is *the red line* drawn in *the parting of the hair* at a Hindu marriage... And the military Operation Sindoor is *a line of blood* in the *partitioned region* of the Kashmir Valley, overwhelmingly Muslim, politically fragile, deeply contested.

A red line in the parted hair of a Hindu bride... drawn in a Muslim region. 😬
May 5 91 tweets 15 min read
I had an English NHS doctor replying to one of my tweets the other day saying "no one's more sick now, stop these lies".

Except... there's a problem there because the NHS publishes data about how many doctors are off sick each month...Image And this is what it looks like in graph form.

This is *how much more likely* doctors in Hospitals and Community Health Services (HCHS) are to be sick in each of the last five years than in the three years leading up to the pandemic. Image
May 5 26 tweets 4 min read
🔥🩸 Oh here we go again.

More evidence for doctors, journalists, governments and everyone to ignore:
Covid messes with how your body moves blood around.
This time, it’s the capillaries, the tiniest blood vessels that keep every part of your body supplied with oxygen: Alt text: A set of four microscopic images (labelled A–D) shows capillaries under the fingernails of four different people, captured using nailfold videocapillaroscopy at 200× magnification. Each image includes a black horizontal line representing one millimetre of skin.  Image A (top left): A healthy control subject with neatly arranged, uniform, hairpin-shaped capillaries. Capillary density is high (12 per mm), with no abnormalities.  Image B (top right): A person who recovered from COVID-19 without Long Covid. Capillaries appear mostly normal, but two are visibly dilated (marked with ast... Thanks to @TimofejM77894 for posting this one.
I'll try to explain the bits I understand...
May 3 10 tweets 1 min read
Is it just me or is it nuts that the world should be trying to pretend that Covid didn't just kill thirty million people. Trying to pretend that it was never here.
May 3 53 tweets 7 min read
A lot of people have noticed it. In the past few years, a bunch of different infections in England have started moving together.
Spikes, dips, rising and falling in sync. Image And not just the trough of the covid mitigation days.

Look at that weird mini-plateau on the right for both Lyme and Legionella. Image
Apr 28 31 tweets 6 min read
I've just seen some staggering data on how badly infections are affecting urgent care here *now*.

It's hard to comprehend.
It's hard to get your head round it.

You need to see it to believe it.
👀 I'm going to try to show it visually.

I'm going to show three graphs of the weekly numbers of people facing one of the types of delay in urgent care.

Pre-pandemic.
Emergency Phase.
Rampant Spread.

*all with the same scale*
Apr 28 21 tweets 4 min read
@Keir_Starmer Right.
I've had enough of this.
I'm going to run you through some very simple statistics.
Let's start with this one.
It's the staff illness absence rate for NHS staff.
This is it below in the lead up to the pandemic. Annual variation in the monthly staff illness absence rate - varying consistently between 3.7% and 5%. @Keir_Starmer It's astonishingly consistent pre-pandemic.
If we put pre-pandemic average of 4.13% on there you can easily see the winter peaks of absence, and the improvements in the summer.

But variation from year to year?
There's hardly any. Same graph, highlighting the peaks and troughs, and the consistency of absence.
Apr 26 15 tweets 2 min read
Remember how they lied to you that you were deconditioned because of lockdown, and then we studied elite athletes before and after covid infection and it was covid infections that dramatically affected their fitness level? Remember when liars said there was absolutely no way that Covid could persist in the body after the initial infection, and then now there are covid sequences popping up that have been replicating inside people for three straight years and have 100 mutations?
Apr 26 20 tweets 2 min read
Henceforth I will be using the word thinkstopper instead of 'thought terminating cliché".

You know. Those sentences that are simply designed to stop you thinking.

For example: Me: "If we don't cut emissions drastically now, the consequences for future generations will be catastrophic."

Him: "Oh, I don't know, I reckon the planet will sort itself out eventually somehow."
Apr 23 7 tweets 2 min read
Have you seen this in today's Guardian (left) that toxin secreted by E Coli may be responsible for the rise in bowel cancer in under-50s?

Did you notice they forgot to mention this (right) that E Coli is *five times as likely* after a Covid infection as after Flu? Childhood toxin exposure ‘may be factor in bowel cancer rise in under-50s’ Researchers say mutations more often found in younger patients’ tumours caused by toxin secreted by E coli strains Maybe someone should be having a look at that.
😢
Apr 23 25 tweets 3 min read
Let me walk you through an absolute travesty for a minute. Let's start by going back to 2022.
Apr 22 11 tweets 3 min read
Can you recognise AI written threads yet? Image Yep.
The em dash is one clue. Image
Apr 21 32 tweets 4 min read
I'd like to pull out a few points from this amazing piece of landmark work on Long Covid from worldwide experts.
ann-clinmicrob.biomedcentral.com/articles/10.11… "There is currently no single unified definition of Long COVID, which is a detriment to the research, diagnostics, treatment, and patient rights."

I bang this drum a lot.
There needs to be *one* definition of Long Covid, *now*.
Apr 20 71 tweets 6 min read
Ok folks.

You've maybe heard the word methylation recently, and while people are talking about it as if it's a big deal, you don't have the faintest idea what it means.

Let's change that. A quick thread about the vital process by which your body decides which *genes* to silence, how that system works, and what happens when it goes wrong.
Apr 20 14 tweets 2 min read
Everywhere around you there are people with immune systems and metabolisms and hearts and lungs and brains damaged by Covid infection.

Everywhere around you.

I've seen it since the first people I saw with Covid in 2020, and it hasn't stopped since. But it's not just visible to the naked eye.

It's there when you get their blood under a microscope and look closely.

The lasting damage.

polybio.org/polybio-suppor…
Apr 17 6 tweets 1 min read
I've just been sitting with a family wrestling with a serious new onset health condition that came out of nowhere, and, of course, it's one that's made more likely by Covid infection.
And then one of them says,
"everyone has more health problems now, don't they..." "... I'm not imagining it, am I? So many people seem to have problems like this. I know so many families with serious things going wrong. Is it just that we're hearing more about it now? Or are people having more health problems?"
Apr 14 5 tweets 2 min read
😮
This is just stunning.

*Authorised* illness absence:
still 37% up in Primary Schools
still 50% up in Secondary Schools
and 🚨 an astonishing 74% up in Schools for Children with Special Educational Needs and Disabilities.

The most vulnerable children, the children most in need of protection from infectious disease, and our government is just throwing them under the bus.
🤬Graphs of illness absence over a 3 term period. The pre-covid average for secondary was 3,000,000, now at 4,500,000. Primary was at 3,200,000, now 4,300,000 Special was at 1,500,000, now at 2,650,000 All the data on those graphs is from officially released government statistics:
…e-education-statistics.service.gov.uk/find-statistic…