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Sep 2, 2024, 6 tweets

MMT ESSENTIALS: NARRATIVE

The art of finding the PD array that will hold⭐

A Thread🧡

𝐍𝐚𝐫𝐫𝐚𝐭𝐒𝐯𝐞 𝐒𝐬 𝐭𝐑𝐞 𝐏𝐃 π€π«π«πšπ² 𝐟𝐫𝐨𝐦 𝐰𝐑𝐞𝐫𝐞 𝐰𝐞 𝐜𝐚𝐧 𝐭𝐫𝐚𝐝𝐞 𝐑𝐒𝐠𝐑𝐞𝐫/π₯𝐨𝐰𝐞𝐫 𝐒𝐧 𝐭𝐑𝐞 𝐝𝐒𝐫𝐞𝐜𝐭𝐒𝐨𝐧 𝐨𝐟 𝐭𝐑𝐞 𝐏𝐃 π€π«π«πšπ² 𝐰𝐞 𝐰𝐚𝐧𝐭 𝐭𝐨 𝐭𝐫𝐚𝐝𝐞 𝐭𝐨𝐰𝐚𝐫𝐝𝐬

An order flow leg shows us the PD array to trade from and the PD array to trade towards

The order flow leg has all 3 PD Arrays:

1) 𝑆𝑀𝑖𝑛𝑔 π‘ƒπ‘œπ‘–π‘›π‘‘π‘ 
2) πΉπ‘Žπ‘–π‘Ÿ π‘‰π‘Žπ‘™π‘’π‘’ πΊπ‘Žπ‘
3) πΉπ‘Žπ‘–π‘Ÿ π‘‰π‘Žπ‘™π‘’π‘’ π΄π‘Ÿπ‘’π‘Ž

Price could retrace to any of the PD arrays in the order flow leg. π‡π¨π°πžπ―πžπ«, 𝐭𝐑𝐞 π©π«π¨π›πšπ›π’π₯𝐒𝐭𝐲 𝐟𝐨𝐫 𝐞𝐚𝐜𝐑 𝐏𝐃 𝐚𝐫𝐫𝐚𝐲 𝐝𝐒𝐟𝐟𝐞𝐫𝐬

Our job is to find the PD array with a higher probability to trade from in the order flow leg so that the odds for profitability are in our favor

To find the highest probability narrative, let us discuss the three lines of defenseπŸ›‘οΈ

𝐅𝐒𝐫𝐬𝐭 π₯𝐒𝐧𝐞 𝐨𝐟 πƒπžπŸπžπ§π¬πžπŸ›‘οΈ

π‘Šβ„Žπ‘’π‘› π‘π‘Ÿπ‘–π‘π‘’ π‘Ÿπ‘’π‘‘π‘Ÿπ‘Žπ‘π‘’π‘  π‘–π‘›π‘‘π‘œ π‘Žπ‘› π‘œπ‘Ÿπ‘‘π‘’π‘Ÿ π‘“π‘™π‘œπ‘€ 𝑙𝑒𝑔, π‘‘β„Žπ‘’ π‘“π‘–π‘Ÿπ‘ π‘‘ 𝑃𝐷 π‘Žπ‘Ÿπ‘Ÿπ‘Žπ‘¦ 𝑖𝑑 π‘’π‘›π‘π‘œπ‘’π‘›π‘‘π‘’π‘Ÿπ‘  𝑖𝑠 π‘‘β„Žπ‘’ π‘“π‘–π‘Ÿπ‘ π‘‘ 𝑙𝑖𝑛𝑒 π‘œπ‘“ 𝑑𝑒𝑓𝑒𝑛𝑠𝑒

The highest probability scenario to trade from the FLOD is when the FLOD is a Fair Value Gapβœ…

When the FLOD is a Fair Value Area (FVA), it has a lower probability than an FVG as we can see in the picture that there is a recent bullish momentum going against usβ›”

𝐎𝐯𝐞𝐫π₯𝐚𝐩𝐩𝐒𝐧𝐠 πƒπžπŸπžπ§π¬πžπŸ›‘οΈ

π‘‡β„Žπ‘’ π‘Žπ‘Ÿπ‘’π‘Ž π‘€β„Žπ‘’π‘Ÿπ‘’ π‘π‘Ÿπ‘–π‘π‘’ π‘“π‘–π‘Ÿπ‘ π‘‘ π‘Ÿπ‘’π‘‘π‘Ÿπ‘Žπ‘π‘’π‘  π‘–π‘›π‘‘π‘œ π‘‘β„Žπ‘’ π‘œπ‘£π‘’π‘Ÿπ‘™π‘Žπ‘π‘π‘–π‘›π‘” π‘œπ‘“ π‘‘π‘€π‘œ 𝑃𝐷 π΄π‘Ÿπ‘Ÿπ‘Žπ‘¦π‘  𝑖𝑠 π‘‘π‘’π‘Ÿπ‘šπ‘’π‘‘ π‘‘β„Žπ‘’ π‘œπ‘£π‘’π‘Ÿπ‘™π‘Žπ‘π‘π‘–π‘›π‘” 𝑑𝑒𝑓𝑒𝑛𝑠𝑒

The highest probability scenario to trade from the OD is when it is a Fair Value Area because price has no reason to retrace above the FVA as they have already been offered fair valueβœ…

A Fair Value Gap as OD is a probable narrative compared to the FVAβ›”

Remember, we want to identify the highest probable scenario to remain profitable in the long run

π‹πšπ¬π­ π₯𝐒𝐧𝐞 𝐨𝐟 πƒπžπŸπžπ§π¬πžπŸ›‘οΈ

π‘‘β„Žπ‘’ π‘™π‘Žπ‘ π‘‘ 𝑃𝐷 π‘Žπ‘Ÿπ‘Ÿπ‘Žπ‘¦ π‘‘β„Žπ‘Žπ‘‘ π‘π‘Ÿπ‘–π‘π‘’ 𝑀𝑖𝑙𝑙 π‘Ÿπ‘’π‘‘π‘Ÿπ‘Žπ‘π‘’ π‘‘π‘œ 𝑠𝑑𝑖𝑙𝑙 π‘π‘œπ‘›π‘‘π‘–π‘›π‘’π‘’ π‘™π‘œπ‘€π‘’π‘Ÿ/β„Žπ‘–π‘”β„Žπ‘’π‘Ÿ 𝑖𝑠 π‘‘β„Žπ‘’ π‘™π‘Žπ‘ π‘‘ 𝑙𝑖𝑛𝑒 π‘œπ‘“ 𝑑𝑒𝑓𝑒𝑛𝑠𝑒

We do not expect to use LLOD for narrative. we use them as the PD array to trade towards (direction)

We could still use LLOD if there is no FVG in the leg. With no FVG, there is no order flow leg

So the swing point becomes the only line of defense to trade off of.

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