Fred Wellman Profile picture
Democratic Candidate for Congress in MO-2. Democracy advocate. Army combat vet. Host of @OnDemocracyPod and ‘In the Hot Seat’ on @meidastouch.

Oct 27, 2024, 5 tweets

Let me tell you why I think Trump and the Republicans are screwed with just 10 days to go. 3 things:

1) Ground game
2) Closing message
3) Momentum

1) Ground game…they don’t have one. Lara Trump nuked all the building the RNC had done. Trump torched all of his money on lawyers. They simply ignored the entire concept thinking rallies and transphobic ads were enough. They aren’t. Politics hasn’t changed so much that people knocking doors, making calls, organizing voter drives, and pews to the polls etc don’t matter. Do you really think these marching bands leading college students to vote happened spontaneously? No! They’ve got Elmo desperately throwing money into a bonfire with paid canvassers that are ripping him off! They aren’t knocking the doors and have no skin in the game. They aren’t true believers. They aren’t convincing anyone. In the last ten days…it’s all about turn out…turn out is a ground game…Trump has zero.

2) Closing message: Harris and Walz are flooding the zone with their messaging on her main issues from Trump’s fascism to women’s reproductive heath to expanding Medicare for caregivers. Today Trump shit on Michigan…in Michigan. He called America a garbage can. Says the real enemies of America are within. Attacked Beyoncé. All while his clown show of surrogates like Elmo are telling people things are going to be bad when he gets elected to “fix” things. His VP nominee is a fascist dipshit who keeps saying weird shit like his wife isn’t white but he loves her anyway. Thats before we talk about the fact Melania and Usha are nowhere to be seen. Dude can’t even get his wife to hang out with him. It’s an incoherent goat rodeo of messaging up against a machine running on all cylinders.

3) Momentum: Harris is running a series of rallies highlighting different issues that have become must see TV! She had easily over 4 million viewers on Twitter alone for each of her last two rallies. The Dems have an absolute flood of surrogates filling events from celebrities to the Obama’s and elected’s. Shapiro has been a machine in Pennsylvania while Kemp held an event in Georgia today with like 30 people in the whole park. Trump is falling apart before our eyes. He is canceling interviews, showing up hours late for rallies, rambling incoherently and bragging about it because some idiot told him he’s doing the “weave” when he’s really a mentally ill idiot who can’t complete a thought. He’s having a rally at Madison Square Garden with the longest list of freaks and nutjobs imaginable from Rudy Giuliani to famed comedian Kill Tony…but not a single member of Congress or candidate from New York except pathetic Elise Stefanik. You don’t have to be psychic to feel they are limping into the finale while Harris-Walz is an express train of joy, organization, money, and good policies. The momentum is all on the Dems. That’s before we talk about the insane turnout from women.

Final thoughts: Ignore the polls. Turn people out. Keep pushing. Vote early. Talk to your friends and family to vote. Keep fighting until the clock hits zero. If we do the work it will be over election night. Donald Trump is running to stay of jail. We are fighting for our future. I like our odds. Just my two cents over a drink and pizza. Now…get to work. We aren’t done yet.

As I was saying last night. This is when months of preparation and planning pay off. This is a very big number and it works. 9 days is a long time.

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