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Nov 25, 2024, 11 tweets

Finding winning stocks feels like searching for a needle in a haystack... until you have a system.

Here’s an 8-step framework to consistently spot breakout stocks that can lead to big profits: 🚀👇

Step 1: Start with Market Context
Before picking a stock, understand the broader market trend.

Is the market in an uptrend, downtrend, or sideways?
Use tools like moving averages and indices (e.g., Nifty/S&P 500).
A rising tide lifts all boats; trade with the trend.

Step 2: Scan for Strong Sectors
Top-performing stocks often belong to top-performing sectors.

Look at sector indices (e.g., IT, Pharma).
Check relative strength to identify which sectors outperform the market.
Focus your attention here.

Step 3: Filter for Momentum Stocks
Now, zoom into individual stocks showing strength:

Price near 52-week highs or all-time highs.
Relative Strength Index (RSI) > 60 (optional).
Increasing trading volume.
These stocks are likely under accumulation by institutions.

Step 4: Look for a Base or Consolidation
Momentum alone isn’t enough. Identify stocks that have paused to consolidate.
Common patterns:
Cup and Handle

Ascending Triangle
Flat Base
These setups signal that big players are preparing for the next move.

Step 5: Evaluate Fundamentals (Optional)
Though swing trading focuses on technicals, a quick fundamental check adds confidence.

Is the company profitable?
Revenue and earnings trends—up or down?
Avoid stocks with poor fundamentals unless you're playing a short-term technical setup.

Step 6: Confirm Breakout with Volume
A breakout is only valid if it happens with strong volume.

Wait for the stock to break above resistance.
Volume should be higher than the 50-day average.
This shows genuine buying interest.

Step 7: Manage Risk with Stop-Loss
Every trade needs a plan to manage losses.

Place a stop-loss below the base or consolidation area.
Risk only 1-2% of your total capital on a single trade.
Risk management is your survival tool in trading.

Step 8: Track and Adjust the Trade
Once in the trade:

Set a trailing stop to lock in profits.
Exit when the stock hits your price target or shows signs of reversal.
Always review trades to refine your process.

Conclusion
This 8-step process simplifies finding and managing winning stocks:
1️⃣ Market Context
2️⃣ Strong Sectors
3️⃣ Momentum Stocks
4️⃣ Bases/Consolidations
5️⃣ Fundamentals (Optional)
6️⃣ Volume Breakout
7️⃣ Stop-Loss
8️⃣ Trade Management
Trading is about discipline, not prediction.

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