Thread by @Boochibooch

The latest studies and statistics on interracial relationships, focusing on:

○ Online dating and hookups
○ Marriage
○ Cohabitation
○ Birth data and trends
○ Relationship outcomes

From 2014 to 2024

🧵🧵🧵

The earliest data from OkCupid:

White women are the most racially exclusive.

Despite liberals outnumbering cons over 2 to 1, and their preference taboo.

Exclusivity increased in 2014, despite an altered matching algorithm.

Asian women desired Black men more than White women.

"'QuickMatch score' predicts compatibility based on profile information, rather than visual attraction. Answers to match questions, etc.

'Let's Meet score' predicts the willingness to engage in real-world meeting based on visual attraction (rating)."

shorturl.at/2zNvc

From a 2015 study, "Racial Preferences in Online Dating across European countries"

"Individuals uniformly prefer to date same-race partners, and there is a hierarchy of preferences among natives and minorities.

Non-Arabic minority daters have strong preferences for Europeans."

From a 2016 study, "Crossracial Differences in the Racial Preferences"

"African-Americans are the least desired dating partners. The percentage of European-Americans willing to date African-Americans is significantly lower than the percentage willing to date Hispanic and Asian-Americans."

From a 2017 German study, "Does the internet affect assortative mating?"

Online dating reduces endogamy compared to other forms of meeting partners, but mainly educational and religious endogamy.

Racial endogamy is twice as prevalent as the former two.

From a 2020 Dutch study, "Tinder usage and interracial dating":

Using 24 fake Tinder profiles featuring White and non-White people (minorities in the Netherlands: Turkish, Moroccan, etc)

12 White, 12 non-White.

All respondents found White-looking profiles more attractive.

Study limitations:

Asking respondents to indicate ethnic similarity could have primed them to the purpose of the study, and led to increased social desirability in their answers.

Conclusion:

All respondents ranked Caucasian-looking Tinder users as more attractive and dateable

From a 2021 study, "Modeling dating decisions" by William J Chopik et al.

"Attractiveness and race were nearly double the influence of other things...

"While attractiveness played a major role in the participants' decisions to swipe left or right, race was a leading factor."

Conclusion:

"When the targets were Black, Asian, or Hispanic, they were less likely to be swiped right on. Among the largest effect sizes was a lower likelihood of swiping right if the target was Black."

Negative stereotypes may impact their [perceived] attractiveness."

From a 2022 study in the Netherlands, "Assortative online dating" by Ranzini, et al:

"Respondents with a Dutch ancestry were more likely to select a White person. Both Dutch and non-Dutch ancestry preferred White targets.

Race was the most important factor in partner choice."

We created a dating app and asked respondents (500 young adults) to select dates from 110 profiles, which varied on race, education, and culture (Dutch or non-Dutch).

Conclusion:

"Visual cues to race determine selection, while related cultural signaling appears irrelevant."

From a 2022 study, "Romance & Racism"

"White women particularly had strong same-race preferences"

Latinas liked White men over Black and Asian, but not Latinos.

Asian women preferred Asian over Black, but not White men.

Black women did not show a preference for any race.

"White women and Latinas were more willing to date White men than Asian and Black men."

Asian and Black men were equally disliked.

Asian women preferred White and Asian men. (They were more willing to date Black men than White women were.)

Black women had no racial preference

From a 2022 Russian study, "How Tinder changes dating among Russian Generation Z,"

"Dateability is heavily influenced by racial preferences...

Almost everyone stated that they would never swipe right on someone of a different race."

The author theorizes Russians have racial preferences due to "sexual racism" from Russian media.

"Russian children don't see Black people growing up, so they absorb pictures of Blacks from Russian pop culture. This shows them with low social capital, thus zoomers hesitate."

From a 2023 study 'Racial preferences in dating apps' by Aldana et al:

In a mock tinder app with 2,513 participants

"All of the female participants who initiated a conversation in the heterosexual condition with the Black male profile were trans women, according to their bios."

"Thousands of people saw these profiles.

White profiles had more likes in every situation."

Conclusion:

"Homogamous preferences, and rooted problems like sexual racism, can lead users to maintain a racialized sexual hierarchy that privileges Whiteness."

From a 2023 study, Match's "Singles in America:

Gen Z Less Likely To Date Outside of Their Race Than Millennials"

"While Gen Z might be known for their progressive politics, they might not be as progressive when it comes to dating compared with their Millenial elders."

From the Annual Review of Sociology (2024):

"It was speculated that Asian men face more discrimination from White women than Black men do.

"Yet...[it] overlooks that, Black and Asian men outmarry at similar rates.

White women discriminate against Black and Asian men equally.."

Conclusion: Therefor White men's marriage patterns with Black women are the anomaly, and must be due to anti-Black discrimination.

"White men's anti-Black discrimination may be a more important explanation for observed intermarriage patterns."

From a 2024 study:

The rise of dating apps haven't changed racial marriage preferences:

"Our results indicated strong racial preferences...

The paper found minimal changes in these preferences over the 2008-21 period, in which online dating dominated marriage selection."

Conclusion:

Our findings of minimal changes in preferences over the 2008-21 period is surprising. Given the proliferation of online dating...

Because people have increasingly been marrying someone more like themselves, that can account for the increase in household inequality.

Now for Marriage:

Among currently married women in their 1st marriage in 2016, 10 percent were in an interracial/interethnic marriage.

10.3% of women
5.1% of married non-Hispanic White women
8% of married Black women
20.6% of Asian women
22.4% of Hispanic or Latino (any race)

Why is the number (5.1%) so low here?

"Research has shown that interracial couples have higher rates of divorce than other couples, so the percentage of currently married interracial couples shown in the table may be lower than the percentage of interracial couples who married."

What are the trends?

2000-2016, the total % of interracial married households increased from 7.4% to 10.2%.

Of this:

White/Hispanic: 35% to 40% respectively.
White/Asian: 12.5%-14.4%
White/Black couples: 7.1%-8.1%.

Note: this is % of IR households, not all households

From a 2023 study, "Black-White intermarriage in a global perspective"

For the first time, French data includes a proxy for race!

White females | White males:
Brazil: 5.4%---4.1%
France: 2.0%--1.4%
UK: 0.7%----0.4%
USA: 2.0%---0.6%
SA: 0.5%----1.0%

"We use the term intermarriage in a generic manner; in our study we examine both married and cohabiting couples.

A feature of black–white intermarriage in the US is an imbalanced sex ratio; such gender imbalances are not found in any other countries."

demographic-research.org/volumes/vol49/…

From “But Will It Last?: Marital Instability Among Interracial Couples"

White wife/Black husband marriages show twice the divorce rate of White wife/White husband couples by the 10th year of marriage.

The highest divorce rate of any combo, including Black-Black marriages.

From a later study "Marital Dissolution..."

Black husband-White wife marriages are 185% more likely to end in divorce.
White Husband-Black wife, 158%
Hispanic Husband-White wife, 133%
White Husband-Hispanic wife, 111%
Both gender combinations with Asians had lower divorce rates

Now cohabitation:

8% of White adults cohabit, 57% are married.

Whites are the least likely to cohabit interracially, at 12%.

Of cohabiting households in 2007-2011, 2.7% were Black-White.

In 2017-2021, this share increased to 2.8%.

A .1% increase in the last decade.

White men and women have the same cohabitation rates: 7.9% each.

Cohabitation rates have plateaued over the past decade.

Only 26% of non-Hispanic White women remain in their cohabitant union for at least 3 years before separation. 8% survive 5 years.

Now for IR Birth Data:

From the latest CDC Natality Statistics,

For White mother births in 2023 (Excluding unknown):

87.6% of fathers are non-Hispanic White
5.6% are Hispanic-White
--92%--^
3.5% are Black (Hisp and non)
2.1% are 2 or more races (H&N)
1.2% are Asian (H&N)

For White father births in 2023 (Excluding unknown):

88% of mothers are non-Hispanic White
6.2% are Hispanic-White
--94.2%--^
2% are Asian (Hisp and non)
2% are 2 or more races (H&N)
1.25% are Black (H&N)

Broken down by single moms and dads (Excl Unknown):

White single mothers, by race of dad:

Black: 62%
2 or more races: 46%
Hispanic-White: 43%
Asian: 27.3%
Non-Hispanic White: 23%

For White single fathers:

Black: 42%
Hispanic-White: 39%
Asian: 27%
Non-Hispanic White: 23%

For Birthrate Trends (2016-2023)

Like in all previous years, the overall number of IR births is down since 2016.

The increases in percentage (.1% every 3 years for BM-WW births) isn't due to an increase in their number--rather White-White births have simply declined overall.

Key points from the CDC data:

IR couples with non-Whites have higher rates of single parenthood in every case, especially with Black partners.

The birth rate between White women and Asian men is equivalent White women and Black men, when controlling for population size. (1/3)

Note the CDC data I added does not include "Unknown or unstated," thus there's a gap in the data I can't speculate on.

I'll also be adding relevant racial preference data to this thread for easy reference moving forward.

A 2015 study, "Positioning Multiraciality in Cybserspace," wanted to find out where multiracial individuals are positioned in the "racial hierarchies of the dating market."

For White women:
White > Asian-White > Hispanic-White > Black-White > Hispanic > Asian > Black

For Asian women:
Asian-White>White>Asian

For Asian men:
Asian-White>Asian>White

For Hispanic women:
Hispanic-White>White>Hispanic

For Hispanic men:
Hispanic>White>Hispanic-White

For Black women:
White men>Black-White>Black

For Black men:
Black-White>White>Black