“Top secret and urgent” classified documents found after Assad’s fall provide interesting insights about the “mechanism” overseen by Russia to manage Israeli-Syrian-Iranian dynamics, and Israeli military actions against Iranian & Hezbollah buildup.
Details in this thread
For years, Russia mediated a process designed to allow Assad’s military to function while limiting Iran & Hezbollah's ability to expand militarily in Syria. This mechanism required Israel to avoid certain strikes if these limitations were enforced.
The mechanism's goal: Prevent Iranian or Hezbollah weapon transfers & military build-ups while allowing Syrian army to address its "needs".
This changed after Assad’s regime collapse, when Israel launched a campaign to wipe out all Syrian army sites & weapons in the past 48hrs.
Per the documents, an operative code-named "Moses" directly messaged former Syrian Defense Minister Lt. Gen. Ali Mahmoud Abbas. The messages were then forwarded to the former National Security Bureau head Ali Mamlouk.
These communications involve Israel's frustration over Syrian complicity in allowing Iranian and Hezbollah activities. “Moses” repeatedly issued warnings, detailing specific incidents and consequences if these actions continued.
April 8, 2023: Moses warned of Hamas’ activities in Syria:
'Three rockets were launched from the Golan Heights by Hamas under Khaled Meshaal’s leadership. We demand you stop such preparations or face consequences. You’re responsible for what happens on your land.'
Israel’s warning escalated:
"Our last measure was a warning shot. If you fail to curb these activities, the next attack will be far more severe. You will pay an unprecedented price."
May 7, 2023: Israel struck weapon depots linked to Damascus’ southern command & a training camp in Dumayr run by “The Golan File” led by Abu Hussain Sajid.
Moses wrote:
"We will not accept the presence of Hajj Hashem or his fighters in southern Syria."
May 17, 2023: Surveillance revealed eight planes landing in Hmeimim Air Base (4 Iran Air flights, 4 Ilyushin Il-76 planes from Syria's Brigade 29.) These planes transported weapons to depots in Latakia and Qutayfa.
'The Russian mechanism can still allow you to operate without risking Israeli retaliation. But supporting Iran & Hezbollah will force us to act severely. Any unmonitored activity bypassing Russian oversight will be seen as a direct threat to Israel and will provoke a response.'
July 14, 2023: the dude reiterated his intolerance for Syrian military cooperation with Iran and Hezbollah:
"Supporting Hezbollah’s air defense capabilities is an act against Israel. This only serves Hezbollah’s interests, while causing harm to your military."
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