Casey Profile picture
Professional options trader โ€ข Not financial advice

Jan 11, 8 tweets

This week $SPY dropped over $20 bucks in 4 days ๐Ÿ“‰

That's an average drop of $5 a day ๐Ÿ˜ฌ

Here are some tips & tricks for trading downtrends! ๐Ÿงต

Pullbacks in the market are normal & healthy... But not every red day is a "buy the dip" opportunity!

Many day traders struggle to trade these downside moves, and many swing traders will buy the dip way too early.

There was a time when I would have got killed on a week like last! But these simple tips & tricks have helped me turn that into weeks like this ๐Ÿ‘‡

Rule #1 ๐Ÿ“

If we break under the Previous Day Low the current downtrend is resuming!

Avoid buying the dip here! I wait for the confirmation of a higher high first.

Break Previous Day Low = Lower Low = Downtrend.

Break Previous Day High = Higher High = Reversal.

Every day this week $SPY broke the PDL and continued to fade lower. Clear downtrend โฌ‡๏ธ

Not only is that Previous Day Low a great way to gauge direction... It is also a strong support / resistance level to trade around!

Here's an example of that last week โฌ‡๏ธ

Rule #2 ๐Ÿ“

Don't fade the EMA trends! Trading with them rather than against them makes life a lot easier.

Here's my simple cheat sheet for EMA trends โฌ‡๏ธ

Not only do these EMA trends clearly show you the momentum / direction... I also use them for pullback entries into these downtrends!

Here's an example of that from last week โฌ‡๏ธ

Rule #3 ๐Ÿ“

Trade the Bear Flags ๐Ÿšฉ

Rarely will a bullish reversals start with a bear flag.

There are plenty of nice reversal patterns... Bear flags are not one of them. Keep an eye out for them on pullbacks if we are in a current downtrend! โฌ‡๏ธ

Bullet Point check list ๐Ÿ”ฝ

~ Below Previous Day Low โœ…

~ Bearish EMA trends โœ…

~ Bear Flags โœ…

These are 3 simple and effective ways to identify and trade these downtrends! ๐Ÿค™

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