Mike Hoerger, PhD MSCR MBA Profile picture
Expert in weighing medical evidence, cancer, COVID forecasting & mitigation, health disparities, financial analytics. 120 publications. PhD program director.

Mar 24, 2025, 5 tweets

PMC Dashboard, Mar 24, 2025 (U.S.)
๐Ÿงต1/5

๐Ÿ”น3 million new weekly infections in a persistent "lull" of substantial transmission
๐Ÿ”น1 in 107 (0.9%) of the population actively infectious
๐Ÿ”น1 in 3 regions in high/very high transmission (16 states and DC)

PMC Dashboard, Mar 24, 2025 (U.S.)
๐Ÿงต2/5

We have had a steady state of about a half million infections the past several weeks. That's over 50 million estimated infections so far in 2025.

In a room of 40-50 people, there's a 1-in-3 chance of exposure if no testing/isolation.

PMC Dashboard, Mar 24, 2025 (U.S.)
๐Ÿงต3/5

There's a good chance of steady transmission the next month. Often, we'd head into a low lull about now. BUT there are no universal precautions, immunity is waning from the fall & winter 2023-24, & viral evolution looks less 'lucky.'

PMC Dashboard, Mar 24, 2025 (U.S.)
๐Ÿงต4/5

We just passed the 5-year anniversary, now with 10 waves in the U.S.

Americans may see an average of about 8 infections by year 10. We continue to see about 150k excess deaths annually, per actuaries.

PMC Dashboard, Mar 24, 2025 (U.S.)
๐Ÿงต5/5

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Find the complete dashboard at pmc19.com/data

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