🚨NEW: Victor Davis Hanson presents a powerful breakdown of the Civil War raging in the Democrat Party.
As the Old Guard continues to endure withering pressure from the New Radicals, and a stream of incumbents bow out —
Where does it go from here?
THREAD 🧵
1⃣ THE OLD GUARD: ON ITS LAST LEGS
Hanson begins by drawing a sharp picture of the decrepit Old Guard — The “Biden generation” — falling apart before our eyes:
“There was some news lately that Senator Dick Durbin from Illinois, he was the author, remember, of the Dream act. He was a hardcore liberal. You could even say he was left of center. He's stepping down. He's in the 70s and there's a changing of the guard.”
“Chuck Schumer in some polls is running, I cannot believe it, behind AOC for his upcoming senatorial bid by 20 points and more in a primary. And then as sort of a force multiplier of this, I just saw Nancy Pelosi. She was at a public event. I think she's 85, turning 86. She was as incoherent as Joe Biden.”
So what's Victor trying to say? He lays it out: The Old Guard is TERRIFIED:
“We're watching a changing of the guard, both due to aging. And we see that with Joe Biden and the Biden generation is over with and Nancy Pelosi and then the next cohort in their 70s, the Septa generations, they're terrified. Dick Durbin is terrified of being primaried. And so is Chuck Schumer. He took the dignified way out.”
“Chuck Schumer will probably fight to the very end and be humiliated by AOC.”
2⃣ THE NEW RADICALS RISE
Next up, Hanson starts to dig into the radical faction that is mounting hostile takeover of the party power structure:
“Who are these people? Well, the squad remember traditionally was Ilhan Omar, the Somalian who allegedly had married her brother to gain citizenship, access to the United States. There was Ayanna Pressley. She was the radical African American congresswoman. We had, of course, AOC was a prominent member.”
“And, we have also, in addition to Rashid Talib, she was a member of the squad. She was the Michigan kind of pro Hamas congresswoman. Then we had the DNC and we had Ken Martin won the DNC chairmanship. He's very much to the left and really to the left is his subordinate, David Hogg, the vice chairman.”
“He was a survivor of the parkland shooting, remember, in 2018. And he transmogrified into a gun anti second amendment. But then he got even more and more and more radical. I don't think he's ever really done anything except raise money. But here's my point…”
Here, Hanson nails the bottom line. We are watching a real time transformation of the party:
“We're watching a metamorphosis of the Democratic Party that is out of power.”
3⃣ 2024 SCAPEGOATS
To Hanson, the anger fueling the revolt is simple enough to understand — The Old Guard got DECIMATED by Donald Trump in 2024:
“The old guard Nancy Pelosi, Joe Biden, Chuck Schumer, Dick Durbin, that old guard did not deliver the 2024 election.”
“And they lost the House. They lost the Senate. They don't have a majority in the Supreme Court. They lost the popular vote. They lost the Electoral College.”
“So in the eyes of the Democratic youth, they're discredited.”
Hanson describes how the Kamala strategy to ‘fake move to the center’ was a disaster:
“But here's the key. They didn't lose the 2024 election because they were too far — that they didn't go far left enough. They lost it because Kamala Harris and her supporters tried to move her FROM her hard left (positions).”
“And can I make a parentheses here? She had the most left wing voting record in the US Senate, to the left of Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren, and she couldn't even move a little bit to the center, although she tried. She said, remember that she was for fracking and she wanted the border wall and she was for deportation. That was all untrue.”
“But the point I'm making is the party tried in a very anemic fashion to move to the center where they knew the votes were.”
The conventional view was that the party lost because they were TOO radical left, and the move to the center was nakedly transparent. But, as Hanson concludes, the New Radicals see it VERY differently:
“But this new cohort is saying you lost the election because you didn't go far, left enough. And maybe we represent 20% of the Democratic registered cohort. But we're young and we're charismatic and we're dynamic, and we're going to take this party, in the 2026 midterms and in 2028 to victory.”
4⃣THE NEW DEMOCRAT AGENDA
Hanson dives into the policies and positions that the New Party Revolution will usher in to the Democrat platform:
“We're going to do it by a socialist agenda and a radical, radical New Green Deal and an open border and a trans banner on every campaign event. That's who we are. And a disarmament. And we're going to raise taxes on the billionaires.”
Here’s the key: These far-left positions and proposals are NOT popular.
“And the that's their message. It has no public support. So even though they think they're charismatic and they're youthful, we get back to the old proverb of the 80/20 paradigm.
“The Republican Party has been on the 70 to 80% of where the people are on the border, on foreign policy, on the economy, on social and cultural issues.”
Then Hanson comes in off the top rope: these people are JACOBINS:
“These people, these Jacobin French revolutionaries, they're 20 they're polling 20% to 30% on this issue.”
5⃣ WHO IS TERRIFIED? IT’S NOT THE GOP
In conclusion, Hanson thinks the GOP savors these future political matchups — and paints a dark picture of how this plays out for the Democrat party:
“I’ll leave you with a final thought. The Republicans are not afraid.”
“They're not afraid of The Squad and the Jacobins in this new court or the David Hoggs of the world.”
“But you know who's terrified of them? Dick Durbin, Nancy Pelosi and Chuck Schumer, because they don't know how to handle them. They're part of themselves, the incestuous relationship. And they're saying to them, but we're the old guard, and they're saying, you may be the old guard, but we're going to guillotine you and get rid of you.”
“And we're coming in with a revolutionary fervor. They're TERRIFIED.”
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