1) PMC COVlD Dashboard, June 9, 2025
CDC wastewater surveillance data show transmission rising. This is our forecast if transmission growth follows typical patterns.
The high & low estimates could be thought of as optimistic & pessimistic scenarios for NB.1.8.1.
2) PMC COVlD Dashboard, June 9, 2025
Notice that current transmission (red line, lower left) tracks closely with two years ago (yellow), slightly below the median (gray), and not far below last year (orange).
Consider each of these trajectories realistic scenarios.
3) PMC COVlD Dashboard, June 9, 2025
All indications are that we are headed into the start of an 11th national wave in the U.S.
We could percolate near the lull point another couple weeks (fingers crossed), but that scenario is becoming less likely.
4) PMC COVlD Dashboard, June 9, 2025
In fact, we are presently seeing regional surges in Alaska & Louisiana.
I'm in Louisiana. We were the slowest to come down from high transmission and only had a *2-week* lull before shooting up again. #NB181?
5) PMC COVlD Dashboard, June 9, 2025
Validated wastewater case estimates suggest 1.8 million weekly infections in the U.S.
Estimates derived from Swiss Re suggest those infections will result in 600-1,100 excess deaths.
Now consider the brutality of the next wave. 🪦
6) PMC COVlD Dashboard, June 9, 2025
You can learn more about our Swiss Re derived excess death estimates through this video, also available on the dashboard website.
Shortcut to the Swiss Re report:
Everyone should read that report. 👆tinyurl.com/swiss19
7) PMC COVlD Dashboard, June 9, 2025
Find the full dashboard at
We made the website more mobile friendly a few weeks ago and will have several exciting updates in late June & July.
Please use, edit, improve, and share across platforms 🙏pmc19.com/data
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