The following photo captures from WW2 bomb damage analysis documents are to calibrate people's eyes as to what to expect from the Fordow strike.
The MOP crater is going to be something called a "Camouflet" because the MOP will dig so deep before exploding.
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The problem with this US strike is the rock density in the Fordow area may be too much for the GBU-57/B MOP (See Grok below)
Unless there is really good intelligence showing a weakness in Fordow or...
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grok.com/share/c2hhcmQt…
...this MOP strike had several bombs with the same aim point and a timer setting for simultaneous detonation. Good results will be difficult.
WW2 testing showed hard crystallized limestone was a pain for semi-armor piercing bombs dropped from 16,000 feet to penetrate.
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Limestone isn't particularly hard compared to a number of volcanic and metamorphic rocks.
When the WW2 British scientist Barnes Wallace's Tallboy and Grand Slam were tested against steel reinforced concrete, the results were not good.
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The Tallboy and Grand Slam broke up when they were moving too fast or the tail wacked the concrete laterally while going through.
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The GBU-57/B MOP is built with those WW2 lessons plus the benefit of Defense Threat Reduction Agency basic & applied research starting in the late 1990's for deep penetrating bombs to destroy WMD's.
It still may not be enough for Fordow w/o special intel & tactics.
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@threadreaderapp unroll please
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