Thread by @michael_hoerger

PMC COVlD Dashboard, Jun 23, 2025 (U.S.)

🔥Biggest uptick since Jan
🔥1 in 167 actively infectious
🔥>2 million weekly infections
🔥700-1,200 resulting excess deaths from weekly infections

Track transmission closer to home w/our new state & international resources 👇

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PMC COVlD Dashboard, Jun 23, 2025 (U.S.)

🔹With >90% probability, we have entered the 11th COVlD wave.
🔹In a room of 50 people, there is already a 1 in 4 chance of an exposure.
🔹We expect nearly 15 million infections in the next month, and rising.

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PMC COVlD Dashboard, Jun 23, 2025 (U.S.)

We continue to expect transmission to break 500,000 daily infections in the U.S. around July 9th.

This is the same prediction as last week, as the forecast was dead on. Yet, there is considerably uncertainty around this timing.

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PMC COVlD Dashboard, Jun 23, 2025 (U.S.)

Transmission (red) has closely matched that of 2years ago (yellow).

We expect a slightly quicker acceleration, but recent retroactive data corrections add to uncertainty.

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PMC COVlD Dashboard, Jun 23, 2025 (U.S.)

Transmission has begun to heat up in many states from the lowest relative "lull" in nearly 4 years.

Transmission is 'high' (per CDC) in Alaska and Guam and 'moderate' in 7 states and DC.

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PMC COVlD Dashboard, Jun 23, 2025 (U.S.)

Find the full dashboard at

Use/improve and share any images. Let me know how it goes using the links to international or more localized U.S. data. It's very helpful, but there's a learning curve.

🧵6/6pmc19.com/data