It's finally out! Pew Research's 2024 election analysis... Here's a 🧵of some hot takes:
Trump's base has nearly doubled with Hispanics and tripled with blacks since 2016, decreased by 10 points among whites.
Democrats has decreased a total of 6 points among black and Hispanics... increased 4 points among whites
15% of Biden 2020 voters didn't vote in 2024, 5% voted for Trump.
11% of Trump 2020 voters didn't vote in 2024, 3% voted for Harris.
14% of people who didn't vote in 2020 voted for Trump in 2024, 12% voted for Harris
Americans who didn't vote in 2016 but did in 2020 supported Biden by 5 points
Americans who didn't vote in 2020 but did in 2024 supported Trump by 12 points
Trump's support growth among certain demographics 2016 to 2024:
Whites: +1 points
Blacks: +9
Latinos: +20
Asians: +10 (since 2020)
White men: -3
White women: +4
(since 2020)
Black men: +9
Black women: +5
Latino men: +11
Latino women: +13
Trump's support growth among certain demographics 2016 to 2024:
18-29 yr olds: +11
30-49 yr olds: +8
50-64 yr olds: +5
65+ yr olds: -2
Men 18-49 yr olds: +3
Men 50+ yr olds: +1
Women 18-49 yr olds: +15
Women 50+: +2
Postgraduates: +4
College graduates: +5
Some College: +5
HS or less: +8
White w/ college: +5
White w/o college: 0
(since 2020)
Black w/ college: +8
Black w/o college: +7
Hispanic w/ college: +13
Hispanic w/o college: +11
Protestants: +6
White Evangelicals: +6
Catholic: +3
White Catholic: -2
Unaffiliated: +4
Monthly or more often: +6
A few times a year or less: +5
Black Protestant (since 2020): +6
Non-white Protestant: +15
Latino Catholic: +10
Since 2020:
Born in the USA: +2
Immigrants: +9
Among Immigrants:
White Immigrants: +14
Hispanics: +12
Asians: +9
Fin.
I'll write a longer substack about this, so please subscribe
natpop.substack.com
source:
pewresearch.org/politics/2025/…
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