For the first time in nearly a decade tracking the Far Left, we just witnessed a coordinated, complex ambush by a Far Left direct action cell.
And the media is SILENT on its implications. Here's what you need to know: 🧵👇
1. Last Friday, 8-10 individuals launched fireworks and vandalized an ICE facility in Alvarado, Texas to draw a law enforcement presence.
After a 911 call was made, multiple shooters opened fire, at least one in a nearby treeline, wounding an arriving officer.
2. These kinds of shootings are normally conducted by individuals.
What we see here is 10 militants and an 11th co-conspirator forming a cell, selecting a target, and carrying out a coordinated, complex attack.
Armed Far Left violence is not uncommon, but this is unprecedented
3. What this shows is an operational evolution from individuals acting out of uncontrolled rage to coordinated cell-based violence.
Now that this precedent has been set, where do we go from here?
4. The Most Likely Course of Action is continued attacks involving 1-3 shooters. Larger groups will be exponentially more difficult to coordinate, and there aren't enough Far Left militants to keep getting rolled up by the dozen.
5. Far Left militants will see the relative failure of this attack against a hard target, and simply choose softer targets in the future.
The availability of federal agents' personal information through online doxxing increases this likelihood.
6. The Most Dangerous Course of Action is that this attack open's a Pandora's Box of other armed Leftist groups attempting to successfully carrying out similar relatively large scale attacks against federal facilities.
7. Another Possible Course of Action: The relative failure of the attack and swift response by federal authorities diminishes the likelihood of future armed, organized political violence.
It's a bit counter-narrative, but we've seen that felonies work.
8. The Georgia RICO case is a great example.
After 61 Far Left militants were charged under the RICO Act -- and some with domestic terrorism -- the Stop Cop City movement folded.
They deleted their website and stopped most operations because they didn't have the people.
9. If these 10 individuals and an 11th co-conspirator had a successful attack and escaped, then future attacks would be come immensely more likely because of a belief in the likelihood of success.
But this attack was not successful.
10. These 10 individuals are each being charged with three counts of attempted murder of a federal agent, which carries a mandatory 10-year prison sentence.
This will reduce the likelihood of similarly sized attacks, though not to zero.
11. The Alvarado ambush is a watershed moment for this country and our ongoing Low Intensity Conflict.
We will almost certainly continue to see armed political violence against federal facilities and/or personnel.
RICO works. I'll post my take on RICO below. /fin
My take on using RICO to disrupt the Revolutionary left.
A lesson for the Trump administration:
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