Thread by @HighMarsed

Let me quickly explain what this video gets wrong about the current russian tank fleet.🧵

1. Russia pulled most of the tanks that were already in working condition from storage right after the mobilization started, in order to equip new units and quickly replace losses. This is why we started seeing un-upgraded T-54/55, T-62, and T-72Ural tanks at the front.

1. Since then, they have focused on refurbishing and upgrading stored T-72Bs, T-80B/BVs, and T-62s, in addition to expanding T-90M production. As a result, the share of upgraded tanks has increased, and the tank fleet has actually become 'newer'.

2. The first new development is that they might be preparing to remove more T-72As (not T-72Bs) from storage, which have so far seen a relatively low removal rate. This likely indicates that the supply of T-72Bs and T-80B/BVs from storage bases has dried up.

2. The removal of visible T-72Bs from the 1311th storage base is particularly noteworthy, as this base is the only one still holding a significant number of this tank type and has likely compensated for previous removals through its garages or by relocations from other bases.

2. The number of T-72Bs and T-80B/BVs in storage and at BTRZs is likely approaching zero, and the number of tanks being taken from storage has decreased dramatically. However, there are still tanks remaining (T-54/55, T-62, T-64, and T-72A). Some of them could still be utilized.

3. The active Russian tank fleet is likely still very large. According to our counts more than 4,100 tanks have been removed from visible storage, in addition to an unknown number taken from covered storage. Furthermore, T-90M production has increased significantly.

3. I don't know how many tanks are currently active or sitting at workshops, BTRZs, and factories, but comparing our data to the losses recorded by Oryx suggests that the total number might still be comparable to pre-war levels.

4. The main problem with the video is that it suggests the Russian army will collapse due to running out of tanks, even though we are currently seeing a large number of Russian assaults being carried out without armor.

4. Don't get me wrong—most of the useful equipment has already been removed from storage, and Russia is facing numerous challenges that could significantly worsen its situation or even lead to an end to the war. However, running out of tanks is not one of them.