The fuel crisis in Russia will most likely only get worse. The first Russian region — the Kuril district of the Sakhalin region — has completely stopped selling gasoline to the public. Now, only special transport can access it. Remote regions are suffering first, since
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most of Russia’s refineries and storage facilities, as well as its industrial and economic centers, are concentrated in the western part of the country. With the increasing range of Ukrainian drones, fewer and fewer refineries remain operational. While there is still no
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shortage in the Leningrad and Moscow regions, panic is spreading across the market. On top of this, Russia is facing another headache — disruptions in air traffic, again caused by drone attacks. Ukraine clearly intends to paralyze Russia. The shortage of fuel in the Far East
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is only the first sign. These are the most remote and poorest regions. Fuel delivery there depends on railroads, which have long suffered from a lack of bearings, deteriorating infrastructure due to negligence, and sometimes with a little “help” from Ukrainian special
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services. The railway network is also overloaded with military convoys, creating bottlenecks at major junctions. At some point, storage reserves will also begin to run out if Russia cannot produce fuel in the necessary quantities. Possible supplies from Belarus will not be
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able to cover the full demand. Sooner or later, the Russian authorities will face a stark choice — deliver fuel to Moscow or send it to the front. The economy simply cannot sustain both, making it impossible for Russia to continue the war.
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There is no doubt now that Ukraine will keep striking refineries and fuel depots until this strategy completely topples Russia.
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