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Estonian Reserve Soldier. Bringing you the latest updates on the Russo-Ukrainian war.
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Sep 2 11 tweets 5 min read
Europe once again demonstrates its toothlessness towards Russia. The incident with von der Leyen’s plane is a serious event, where the lives of everyone on board were put at risk. An excellent comment on this matter was written by Former Foreign Minister of Lithuania
1/11 Image Gabrielius Landsbergis: "Deeply concerned to hear about the deeply concerning GPS interference that diverted @vonderleyen 's flight. Europe stands united in expression of deep concerns and must commit to the deployment of ever-deepening concerns moving forward." Expressing
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Sep 1 12 tweets 5 min read
Russia’s budget deficit has surged to around ₽5 trillion (about $62.5 billion). That’s 130% of what was planned, and there are still four months left in the year. Another round of inflation is expected this autumn. The central bank’s decision to cut the key interest rate
1/12 Image in June has triggered a new problem—a sharp increase in household debt. Russian consumers typically lack financial literacy, and in hard times they don’t cut back or save; instead, they live day to day, as if it’s their last, without thinking of the future. It’s the classic
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Aug 29 6 tweets 3 min read
Russia has carried out its first successful naval drone attack on the Ukrainian ship Simferopol. The Simferopol is a medium-sized Ukrainian reconnaissance vessel. The Russians struck the ship in the Danube River estuary. One sailor has been confirmed dead, while several
1/6 Image others are reported missing. A breach opened in the ship’s hull, causing it to capsize. The vessel was built on the hull of a Project 502EM fishing trawler and was launched in 2019. According to military sources, the strike was conducted by a newly formed unit of the Russian
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Aug 27 7 tweets 3 min read
The fuel crisis in Russia will most likely only get worse. The first Russian region — the Kuril district of the Sakhalin region — has completely stopped selling gasoline to the public. Now, only special transport can access it. Remote regions are suffering first, since
1/7 Image most of Russia’s refineries and storage facilities, as well as its industrial and economic centers, are concentrated in the western part of the country. With the increasing range of Ukrainian drones, fewer and fewer refineries remain operational. While there is still no
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Aug 25 17 tweets 7 min read
Systematic destruction of Russian oil refineries by Ukraine is not only a response to Russia’s aggression, but also a signal to the Trump administration: Ukraine cannot be bent. With Trump’s return to power, the U.S. has been seeking a peace deal with Russia, pressuring
1/17 Image Ukraine in the process. One of the first steps was a restriction on the use of American weapons against Russian territory, a policy approved by the previous administration. While not a formal ban, every ATACMS strike has to be cleared with the Pentagon, which simply does not
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Aug 22 14 tweets 6 min read
Ukrainian sanctions in the form of drones are working. The fuel crisis in Russia is worsening. The most difficult situation is in Primorye, affected by the influx of tourists. The authorities in Crimea admit the situation is critical. After a series of Ukrainian strikes
1/14 Image on oil refineries, they have gone into repair. Since the beginning of August alone, at least 7 Russian refineries have been attacked, four of which completely stopped operations – Novokuybyshevsk, Saratov, Volgograd, and Samara. The Ryazan refinery has lost more than half of
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Aug 20 11 tweets 5 min read
The past week can be considered a turning point in relations between the U.S., Russia, and Ukraine. Putin’s fiasco in Alaska and Zelensky’s success at the White House define the future of relations between these countries. For Trump, it is crucial to feel important and to be
1/11 Image at the center of attention. This is a trait of any narcissist. Until recently, he saw Russia as a superpower, but after six months of Putin constantly wiping his feet on him, the American president became deeply disappointed. Trump still has an obsessive idea in his head:
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Aug 15 7 tweets 3 min read
Putin, in calling for new negotiations, is counting on Trump to pause sanctions and pressure Ukraine. This is the sole purpose of the meeting in Alaska, and once again Trump has fallen for the same old bait. While Trump delays new sanctions in the hope of striking a deal with
1/7 Image dictator Putin, the EU is already working on a new sanctions package that could be introduced as early as September. During the informal meeting of EU foreign ministers in the “Gymnich” format on August 29–30 in Copenhagen—an event traditionally held every six months by the
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Aug 13 5 tweets 2 min read
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky rules out the possibility of withdrawing Ukrainian troops from the unoccupied part of Donetsk region as a precondition for a complete ceasefire. “We will not leave Donbas. We cannot do that. For the Russians, Donbas is a bridgehead for a
1/5 Image future new offensive. A few years – and Putin will have an open path to Zaporizhzhia and Dnipropetrovsk regions. And not only that. Also to Kharkiv. Right now, they want to give them about 9,000 square kilometers, which is about 30% of the entire Donetsk region (the size
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Aug 13 10 tweets 4 min read
Bad news is coming from the Pokrovsk direction, where Russian forces have broken through the Ukrainian Armed Forces’ defensive line and penetrated deep into the rear. The Russians are using small-unit tactics with groups of 3–5 men, which are difficult to track, in order to
1/10 Image infiltrate behind the lines, set up ambushes, carry out sabotage operations, and sow confusion among Ukraine’s defenders. These small groups are very hard to detect, as they use random cover and cloaks to avoid thermal cameras. Their survival rate is very low—about 80% of
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Aug 11 12 tweets 5 min read
Putin is using Trump to achieve what he cannot accomplish militarily. The meeting in Alaska will most likely take place without Zelensky’s participation, because if Zelensky accepts the invitation and attends, the Russian side will refuse to take part. From Russia’s
1/11 Image perspective, the Zelensky government is illegitimate, and a meeting between Putin and Zelensky would undermine that propaganda. According to insiders, Putin wants to secure control over Donbas, gain recognition of Crimea’s annexation, and achieve the removal of sanctions.
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Aug 8 8 tweets 3 min read
The United States has offered Putin the lifting of sanctions in exchange for a ceasefire in Ukraine, Onet reports. The Polish outlet claims its editorial team has obtained details of the proposal allegedly presented to Putin in Moscow by Trump’s special envoy, Whitkoff.
1/8 Image According to Onet, the Kremlin would receive “a great deal” under this package if it agrees to negotiations. One of the key points, the outlet says, is Washington’s agreement to postpone the question of recognizing the Ukrainian territories seized by Russia for 49 or 99 years.
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Aug 6 8 tweets 3 min read
The visit of Witkoff to Moscow will bring absolutely nothing. Trump is still not ready to exert real pressure on Putin. There is a very high probability that after the expiration of Trump’s latest “ultimatum” on August 8, no serious action will follow. It’s more likely that
1/8 Image pressure will shift toward India, which could hurt Russia, as India—alongside China—remains one of the main importers of Russian oil. It is much harder to apply real tariff pressure on China—it could backfire spectacularly, as China could impose retaliatory tariffs, just
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Aug 5 8 tweets 3 min read
Indian components continue to be found in Russian attack drones, said Andriy Yermak, Head of the Office of the President of Ukraine. "Unfortunately, we are discovering Indian components in Russian attack drones. These are drones used on the front lines and against civilians,
1/8 Image specifically Shahed/Geran drones. Russia must be deprived of the ability to receive components from other countries to stop the killing of Ukrainians," Yermak noted on Telegram. He added that the purchase of Russian energy resources also amounts to financing the war, which
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Aug 4 7 tweets 3 min read
Women are increasingly appearing on the Russian side of the front. But while many women serve in the Ukrainian Armed Forces and other armies around the world, the picture in the Russian army looks a bit different. First of all, women usually hold specific roles — medics,
1/7 Image drone operators, logistics personnel, etc. — although there are also brigade commanders and even some in infantry, but that’s relatively rare. In Russia, however, women have begun to appear en masse specifically in assault units, serving as frontline stormtroopers. Recently,
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Jul 1 14 tweets 6 min read
The Russian economy is losing momentum. Sberbank chief German Gref warned that the country is entering a period of serious challenges. Speaking at the bank’s annual shareholders’ meeting, Gref pointed to military spending, inflation, and high interest rates as key factors
1/14 Image that will continue to weigh on the economy through 2026. He noted that loan quality is declining, and more individuals and businesses are seeking to restructure their debts. Meanwhile, Bloomberg reports that senior bank executives see the risk of a banking crisis within
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Jun 30 16 tweets 6 min read
According to BILD, "Russia is expected to emerge stronger after the war in Ukraine, and the Kremlin is actively preparing for a potential invasion of NATO countries." While the Russian threat remains real, and it must not be dismissed — and we must indeed prepare for it — at
1/16 Image this stage, nearly all statements about a potential Russian attack on NATO countries are nothing more than attempts to divert NATO’s attention and resources away from the war in Ukraine. Let’s look at the facts. The so-called “grand” summer offensive in the Sumy region
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Jun 26 7 tweets 3 min read
Ultimately, the main achievement of both Putin and Trump is that NATO has now committed to increasing annual defense spending to at least 5% of GDP by no later than 2035 — a level unseen since the Cold War. Previously, the target was just 2%. Some countries, like Estonia,
1/7 Image are already set to reach this threshold as early as next year. Spain opposed the move, but it is geographically the farthest from the main threat — Russia. At least, that’s how it seems to them. But one should not forget that Russia’s core strategy revolves around hybrid
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Jun 26 18 tweets 7 min read
NATO suggests that Russia can sustain the war at its current pace until 2027. Of course, I may be accused of being sympathetic to Ukraine and having a biased opinion, but let’s look at the facts—what’s wrong with this statement? The Russian war machine currently relies on
1/18 Image Soviet-era equipment reserves, a large number of soldiers, and the National Wealth Fund. Let’s start with the first point. Soviet equipment reserves are almost completely depleted. The offensive on Sumy is carried out mainly through infantry assaults, and the amount of
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Jun 24 12 tweets 5 min read
The appointment of Robert Brovdi, known by his call sign "Madyar," as head of the Unmanned Systems Forces of Ukraine has already yielded noticeable results, according to Russian military bloggers. They report that Ukrainian drone strikes are now primarily aimed at eliminating
1/12Image Russian UAV operators. Madyar has openly declared his goal of building a "drone wall" along the entire front line and destroying up to 35,000 Russian soldiers per month—the estimated number that the Russian army can mobilize on a monthly basis. He advocates for establishing
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Jun 20 16 tweets 6 min read
The war in Iran benefits Russia in the short term, but in the long run, the loss of Iran would be a major defeat for Moscow in the region, further weakening its already diminished position in the Middle East. The fall of Syria has significantly undermined Russia’s influence
1/15 Image there, and Iran remains its last major ally in the region. Russia is trying to squeeze every possible advantage out of this unfavorable situation. The war in Iran distracts the West and its allies from the conflict in Ukraine, but the main gain for Russia is the rise in oil
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