Estonian Reserve Soldier.
Bringing you the latest updates on the Russo-Ukrainian war.
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Dec 16 • 15 tweets • 6 min read
This week, we received an answer on how effective the Korean troops are and how much they are helping Russia in the Kursk region. Footage of North Korean attacks demonstrates that they lack the skills to conduct modern warfare, which was not a surprise. They managed to
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capture several trenches, which were eventually recaptured by Ukrainian forces. The North Koreans became easy targets as they advanced through open fields in large groups. They proved to be ineffective, but it should not be forgotten that Ukrainians still have to repel these
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Dec 11 • 9 tweets • 4 min read
No dictatorship lasts forever, and all dictators are mortal. Putin, due to his age alone, may "kick the bucket" very soon, although, unlike ordinary Russians, he can afford proper medical care. The events in Syria are clearly a significant blow to his nervous system and 1/9
heart health. Such a scenario is now easy to imagine within Russia itself. The fall of Assad created a power vacuum in Syria, and now several countries are advancing their interests. Sunnis backed by Turkey, Kurds supported by the U.S., factions supported by Israel, Iran and 2/9
Dec 9 • 22 tweets • 8 min read
Russia continues to advance and achieve local successes in the areas of Pokrovsk and Kurakhove. However, it is difficult to call this a success, as it comes at a huge cost in Russian losses. In this sense, the report differs little from previous ones from this section of the
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front. But the main events of recent days are, of course, in Syria. The regime of Bashar al-Assad has fallen, and it took only a few days for this to happen. Bashar al-Assad was the last dictator from the era of the Arab Spring. Ben Ali, Hosni Mubarak, Abdelaziz Bouteflika,
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Dec 4 • 16 tweets • 6 min read
The recent setbacks of the Russian military in Syria could prompt the Kremlin to strengthen its influence in Georgia as a way to compensate for its declining regional power. With its reputation in ruins and the world growing less fearful of Russia, Moscow may seek to
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reassert its presence where it can. Although Russia currently lacks the resources to deploy troops into Georgia, it still has enough financial leverage to ensure that the Georgian Dream party remains in a strong position. This could enable Russia to spark renewed conflicts
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Dec 2 • 8 tweets • 3 min read
The attempt to ignite a conflict in the Middle East and draw Israel into it and distract the West from Ukraine turned out to be a shot in the foot for Putin. After several crushing blows to Hezbollah, Israel has greatly weakened the group, and Bashar Assad relied on it, 1/8
among other things. The weakening of forces was used by the rebels fighting against Assad. Government troops are retreating and Aleppo has already come under the control of the rebels. A lot of weapons have been captured, including Russian equipment. Syria was an important 2/8
Nov 28 • 5 tweets • 2 min read
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky believes that Russian leader Vladimir Putin is now "waving his 'Oreshnik'" only to thwart Donald Trump's efforts to stop the war. Direct speech: "And today in Kazakhstan, Putin again advertised his missiles - his readiness 1/5
to kill and destroy. Putin obviously wants to add thousands more to the thousands of missiles that have already hit Ukraine. He does not need this war to end. In addition, Putin does not want to let others end this war. He can wave his 'Oreshnik' now only to thwart 2/5
Nov 27 • 11 tweets • 5 min read
The average life expectancy of a Russian assault trooper after signing a contract is from two weeks to a month. The Russian offensive continues and it has made advances in several areas at once. Russian troops have advanced to the areas of Kurakhove, Rozdolne,
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Velyka Novosilka. These advances are causing record losses. Daily losses of about 1,600 people - twice as many as exactly a year ago. Russia has turned into a huge conveyor belt of death, destroying Ukraine and devouring itself from the inside. Confirmation of another
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Nov 25 • 15 tweets • 6 min read
The declassified British intelligence memo about Russia's involvement in the poisonings in the EU has caused a lot of noise in the media, but even when it was happening, there were many people who pointed to Russia's involvement. Back then, everyone wanted to be friends with
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Russia and it didn't cause any response. It hardly does now. Today's plane crash in Vilnius happened 20 days after the WSJ wrote about Russia's plans to sabotage airlines. The investigation has just begun, but if it is established that the fire on board was caused by
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Nov 22 • 10 tweets • 4 min read
After many years of heavy fighting, Ukraine is experiencing a shortage of soldiers, and most importantly, experienced commanders. In some areas, Ukraine is 6 times inferior in numbers to Russia. There is also a severe shortage of ammunition, and when it is necessary to hold
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a position, ammunition often runs out and its delivery is complicated due to Russia's superiority in artillery and aviation. Support vehicles come under fire and are destroyed. Ukrainian brigades are exhausted. First of all, there is a shortage of medium- and long-range
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Nov 21 • 12 tweets • 5 min read
The strike on the Dnipro by an intercontinental ballistic missile damaged an industrial enterprise, a rehabilitation center, residential buildings and garages. As a result of the strike, 2 people were injured. The 57-year-old man received medical assistance on the spot,
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the 42-year-old woman was hospitalized. "Ukrainian Truth" writes that it was an RS-26 "Rubezh" medium-range missile. This is the entire escalation that Russia threatened, but Russia is already hitting Ukrainian cities with everything it can - drones, missiles, artillery.
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Nov 20 • 13 tweets • 5 min read
Unable to respond to permission to fire long-range Western missiles at Russian territory, Russia has resorted to attacks on civilians and infrastructure in Ukraine and hybrid tactics. There is no doubt that Russia is behind the damage to the Finland/Germany and
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Lithuania/Sweden submarine cables at the bottom of the Baltic Sea. A Danish military vessel recently stopped Chinese flagged bulk carrier Yi Peng 3 suspected of sabotaging the cables. According to Russian federal port records, the ship was captained by a Russian citizen
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Nov 20 • 9 tweets • 4 min read
North Korea has sent Col. Gen. Kim Yong-bok to lead North Korean troops in Russia, a top North Korean military official who often serves as Kim Jong-un’s lieutenant. Col. Gen. Kim Yong-bok has rarely been seen — or even mentioned — in public. His role leading North Korean 1/9
special forces required him to keep a low profile to protect his identity. But he is now a very public figure. He is the top North Korean military official in Russia, where more than 11,000 North Korean soldiers have been deployed to help Moscow push out Ukrainian forces 2/9
Nov 18 • 15 tweets • 6 min read
Apparently, the US is lifting restrictions on the use of ATACMS on Russian territory. It seems that the introduction of North Korean troops into Ukraine and the latest massive Russian attack on Ukrainian infrastructure on the night of November 17 could have influenced this
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decision. Despite the fact that this is a very belated decision, since Russia has already withdrawn most of its targets from the ATACMS missile strike zone, this decision will expand Ukraine's capabilities. This decision has caused a negative reaction not only from Russian
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Nov 15 • 7 tweets • 3 min read
After the pro-Kremlin Georgian Dream party won the elections in Georgia, the Kremlin began to implement a plan to integrate the unrecognized republics of Abkhazia and North Ossetia into Russia. However, it did not work out. After the local authorities in Abkhazia announced 1/7
an investment agreement with Russia, residents of the unrecognized republic took to the streets and seized the local government. Protesters surrounded the complex of government buildings and demanded the resignation of the head of the self-proclaimed republic, Aslan Bzhania. 2/7
Nov 14 • 13 tweets • 5 min read
Despite Russia amassing an estimated 50,000 troops in the Kursk region, according to intelligence reports, and Putin's order to return the Kursk region to Russian control before Trump's inauguration on January 20, 2025, the Russian counteroffensive is stalling. Putin hopes
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that Trump's arrival will freeze the conflict and he wants a stronger position in the "peace talks" if they take place. South Korean intelligence reports that Russia has deployed South Korean soldiers to the battle in the Kursk region. Russia has also received 170mm M-1978
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Nov 11 • 11 tweets • 5 min read
We should expect the imminent dismissal of Elvira Nabiullina and another increase in the key rate in December. The measures taken by the Central Bank since the beginning of the war served only to postpone the economic crisis that Russia is plunging into. However, it is
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The real rate is even higher. Many have seen photos of butter in a thieves-proof box. Due to the increase in the rate, companies prefer to increase funds in bank accounts and deposits instead of investing them in the economy. Short-term deposits have become popular.
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Nov 10 • 10 tweets • 4 min read
1/10 The carrot and stick strategy: If Trump truly desires a fair and enduring peace in Ukraine, he must create incentives that encourage Putin to engage in negotiations. This will involve issuing threats. Analysis by @joni_askola
2/10 Individuals who grasp the fundamentals of negotiation realize that you shouldn't concede anything or offer free leverage to the other side before negotiations start. Additionally, successful negotiations depend on the other side's willingness to participate.
Nov 7 • 13 tweets • 5 min read
If Ukraine is forced to give up territory in exchange for peace, this could serve as a signal to China that it can try to seize Taiwan and then bargain with the West for it. Russia also perceives Trump's victory as the fact that the US is now under his control, and this is
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largely an illusion, but now the efforts of the Russian propaganda machine will be turned towards Europe and we should expect an increase in Russia's attempts to split the European Union, countries and society as a whole. Most likely, there will be an increase in the
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Nov 6 • 8 tweets • 3 min read
After Trump's election victory, regardless of his further actions, Ukraine has no choice but to continue the fight for existence and independence. Russia is happy about Donald Trump's election and many hope that Trump will force Ukraine to negotiate and give up its 1/8
territories in exchange for peace. Russia wants a break to build up strength. Ukraine will continue to fight if the US reduces or completely stops aid, and here, first of all, the EU countries should really think about increasing their aid and rearming, but so far most 2/8
Nov 4 • 7 tweets • 3 min read
Russia is suffering record losses and in October this figure was more than 41,000 people. If Russia continues to advance at this pace, the losses of Russian personnel by the end of December will exceed the total losses of the occupiers in 2022 and 2023. 1/7
It seems that Putin really counts on Trump's victory, hoping that he will stop aid and force Ukraine to negotiate on unfavorable terms for it. The Russians captured Selydove and are advancing on Pokrovsk. However, Russia has thrown all its forces and the problem with 2/7
Nov 1 • 16 tweets • 6 min read
The participation of North Korean units on the Ukrainian front will not bring about major changes and they will probably suffer major losses, said Colonel Ants Kiviselg, commander of the Estonian Defense Forces Intelligence Center. However, in the Donetsk region,
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Russian armed forces still hold the initiative and have forced the Ukrainian armed forces to gradually retreat, he added. "Unfortunately, there is nothing positive from the Ukrainian front line this week. The Russian Armed Forces still hold the initiative along the entire
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