Thread by @anno1540

1/
One year after the destruction of the GRU arsenal in the #TVer region of the russian Federation:

- Why this was the most daring SBU operation at that time

The Special Operations Center "A" of the SBU shared details of the operation in #Toropets, Tver region, which took place exactly one year ago.

Fighters of the SOC "A" demonstrated how, thanks to the coordination and management of the SBU, high-precision strikes were planned and carried out on the 107th GRU arsenal – destroying hundreds of thousands of tons of ammunition and a significant part of russian reserves.

Within the Special Operations Center "A" they say:

"Thanks to the coordination and management of the SBU, we were able to first analyze, plan, and carry out high-precision strikes on the 107th weapons arsenal in Toropets, Tver region."
instagram.com/p/DOvAMmyDHAB/…

2/
The Defense Express publication

also conducted an OSINT analysis that confirms the version of the drone launch from the territory of the russian Federation and adds technical details of the visual footagedefence-ua.com/photo/udar_sbu…

3/
'Reaction and details"

The SBU published a video of the drone launch – the short night footage gave analysts more than it seems at first glance.

The recordings show a starry sky, and by comparing the positions of the constellations with the date of the attack – September 18, 2024 – experts reconstructed a possible launch trajectory .

This gave grounds to claim that the launches were carried out from deep inside enemy territory, and not from the side of #Ukraine.....

4/
According to official figures, the intelligent use of long-range drones caused the enemy about $5 billion in damage .

- During one operation, it was confirmed that about 10% of all adjusted aerial bombs in the russian Federation, about 50% of the stock of 120-mm mines and a total of about 150 thousand tons of ammunition were destroyed .

This seriously limited the possibilities of russian attacks and demonstrated the vulnerability of the deep rear

5/
"Time and navigation"

The key evidence in favor of the launch from russia is the time of the object's destruction: no later than 03:56 local time.

The distance of approximately 500 km and analysis of the constellations' altitudes indicate that the drones were launched at night, in the early morning hours, when the constellations Pegasus and Cygnus were high above the horizon.

This allowed analysts to tie the video to a specific location and time.

6/
"Risks and motivation"

Launching from enemy territory was an extremely risky operation, but it had tactical advantages.

- First, the attention of the facility's air defenses was likely focused on approaches from the west or south;

- Second, controlling the drones from a closer launch area guaranteed higher accuracy in hitting open ammunition sites.

Despite the solid data, experts warn:
- the published video may be illustrative or relate to another episode.

Therefore, some of the conclusions are based on assumptions, albeit substantiated by OSINT analysis .

There is also the question of the type of ammunition in the combat unit of the drones and the degree of their modification.
The special forces themselves called the strike one of their most daring - and this emphasizes the complexity and boldness of the operation.

7/
"What preceded"

On September 18, 2024, in the #TVer region, strike drones attacked the 23rd military arsenal

of the Main Missile and Artillery Directorate of the Ministry of Defense of the tussian Federation.

The explosions occurred at 04:00, after which detonation began.news.obozrevatel.com/ukr/russia/u-t…

8/
After the explosions at the warehouse in the village of #Oktyabrsky, russians evacuated the Staraya Toropa railway station .

Several passenger trains were canceled. Others, including "Moscow-Pskov" and "St. Petersburg-Smolensk", were sent on an alternative route and are running with a delay of about 2 hours.

#RosZMI hastened to report on the destruction of a "secret" russian military facility in the Tver region.

9/
Later it became known that the UAV flights to the 107th arsenal in Toropets caused huge losses for the occupation army .
war.obozrevatel.com/ukr/znischeno-…

Good quality satellite images showed that most of the BC warehouse was destroyed.

- In the area where the storage facilities are located underground, ground structures were also damaged.
This is visible in the footage taken from space by satellites of the American company @Maxar Technologies .

10/
A massive fire broke out, ammunition began to detonate. Then even the sensors registered it as small earthquakes .
news.obozrevatel.com/ukr/russia/dos…

11/11
During the summer of 2025, the Special Operations Forces of the Armed Forces of Ukraine struck more than 80 important objects in enemy territory
war.obozrevatel.com/ukr/asimetrich…
(excluding command and observation posts, control points, and equipment and ammunition storage bases) and seven more russian oil refineries.

In total, hundreds of long-range strikes were carried out against the rear of the aggressor state.