Thread by @clement_molin

I now managed to map 24 000 russian 🇷🇺 and ukrainian 🇺🇦 artillery strikes from the Dnipro to the russian border.

With this map, I'll show you exactly where Russia is putting its biggest offensive efforts and where Ukraine is counter-attacking.

🧵THREAD🧵1/20⬇️

With 12k artillery (and airstrikes) found last week, I now added 12k more, including 8k more in the same area as last week (Dnipro to Kostiantynivka).

This work is entirely volunteer and free, I mapped those 24 000 dots by myself.

You can support here : buymeacoffee.com/clement.molin

Most of the artillery strikes impacts are concentrated in 4 main areas :

-Hulialpole/Pokrovsk'e : 8 000 !
-Pokrovsk/Dobropilla : 7 000 !
-Siversk : 1 200
-Kupiansk : 1 200

1- Stepnohrisk/Zaporizhzhia :

As I showed last week, airstrikes suggest Russia is pushing to Komyshuvakha and Tavriiske, behind Orikhiv.

No new images from there.

2- Hulialpole

In the direction west of Hulialpole, there is an enormous number of artillery strikes, mainly russian. There is a strong ukrainian resistance south-west of Hulialpole, Russia is trying to push very hard to Orikhiv.

!!! Red for the ones last week (one week prior), yellow for the ones this week (6 days)

Here are some satellite images showing how much impacts are visible there :

3- Ternuvate :

Ukrainian forces managed to drive out russian recon from Ternuvate. The town is still quite far from the russian control line and logistics, only airstrikes are rzaching it.

I could confirm Pokrovsk'e is largely safe (0 strikes !)

The battles are happening east.

4- Uspenivka

Ukraine launched small scale counter-attacks, which are followed by massive artillery strikes on russian positions (black). Ukraine probably made gains according to recent russian strikes (white).

To remember, red happened a week ago and yellow this week !

Images from the Uspenivka direction are showing important strikes. Very interesting to see ukrainian artillery is still capable of doing that much concentrated strikes.

I can add here two animations of how strikes moved since last week.

5- Novopavlivka

I had doubts about the Novopavlivka/Ivanivka direction being inactive, all the more as there were clouds last week.

In fact, this part of the frontline is widely inactive with very few strikes.

6- Pokrovsk/Dobropilla

The Pokrovsk direction remains very active. Russia is massively striking being the agglomeration, aiming at capturing a buffer zone west of it and eventually reach Dobropilla.

Ukrainian fortification and resisistance is probably very high.

7- Kostiantynivka

The Drujkivka offensive is not yet starting, with less strikes than expected on the Shakove-Kucheriv Yar axes.

Some strikes still around Kostiantynikva.

8- Siversk

I started mapping today from here to Kupiansk, I'm probably still missing half of the impacts.

Not much activity on Kramatorsk direction, but a lot of shelling just west of Siversk. (no data for the area between Lyman and Siversk, forest, impossible to map).

9- Lyman/Borova

I also started here, with quite a regular number of strikes between both cities.Interesting to see how we can level the frontline just with these maps !

10- And... Kupiansk

I didn't finish to map, but there are a lot of strikes east of Kupiansk, which suggest Russia is trying to make frontal infiltrations and assault, after having difficulties to enter the city from the north.

With this other image, you can understand how dense recent strikes have been.

This job can only be done when there is snow, hopefully, I will soon be able to map again airstrikes impact (the one visible in the summer).

With the global map, we can see the new frontline dynamic, with two lines (behind is the consolidated control and artillery presence, while the front is the grey zone, positions and what is called "frontline".

From what I mapped, what is happening ?

Ukraine is pushing hard in Ternuvate and Uspenivka. Russia is pushing very hard in Hulialpole and Pokrovsk, as well as Zaporizhzhia and Kupiansk. Everything else is secondary.

Thank you all for following. If you don't follow me, I hope this will convince you !

Anyway, I can make more detailed and beautiful analyses about one sector of the frontline. I can also giveway (sell) the 24 000 dots for journalism/research purposes).

Thanks !