Ukraine 🇺🇦 has now targeted around 500 russian 🇷🇺 trucks and vehicles during the last 48 days.

Mid-range strikes continue to expand across occupied territories, on roads, bridges and rear base. This continues to slow down russian offensive.

🧵THREAD🧵1/13 ⬇️ From tomorrow, I will be off for more than 1 week, which means there won't be any new map/airstrike/fortification/mid-range strikes update, apart from some small tweets.

I will however continue to follow the overall trends.

La guerre en Ukraine 🇺🇦/🇷🇺 a désormais dépassé la durée de la Première Guerre mondiale et pourrait encore durer plusieurs années.

Voici ce qu’il faut savoir en juin 2026 de ce conflit généralisé aux portes de l’Europe 🇪🇺 qui n'en finit plus.

🧵THREAD🧵1/10 ⬇️ Quel est l’objectif de guerre de la Russie, pays agresseur ?

Les objectifs de guerre de la Fédération de Russie ont beaucoup évolué depuis quatre ans. Outre les déclarations officielles, le principal objectif russe est resté territorial et politique. Moscou cherchait, le 24 février, à vassaliser l’Ukraine tout en annexant une large région, la « Novorossia », entre Kharkiv, le Donbass et Odessa. Cet objectif a largement évolué, notamment après l’échec des offensives sur Kyiv, Kharkiv et Odessa.

Aujourd’hui, l’objectif territorial principal reste l’occupation de toute la région du Donbass, en particulier sa capitale de facto, Kramatorsk. Il est très probable que l’armée russe dispose de deux objectifs territoriaux secondaires : l’occupation complète des deux autres oblasts annexés, Kherson (ce qui est quasi impossible à l’heure actuelle) et Zaporijjia, et l’harmonisation de la ligne de front sur la rivière Oskil dans l’oblast de Kharkiv.

L’objectif politique initial — redonner à la Russie sa puissance d’antan, l’ancrer dans l’Eurasie, retrouver les populations, les industries, les mines et l’accès à la mer des deux voisins slaves (l’Ukraine et la Biélorussie) — reste inchangé. Sans l’Ukraine, la Russie est condamnée à être une puissance secondaire et plus largement asiatique, sa dimension d’empire s’effaçant avec la montée en parallèle de la démographie non slave.

Les autres objectifs qui ont pu jouer un rôle auparavant sont caduques aujourd’hui : la démilitarisation de l’Ukraine semble impossible, quatre ans de guerre d’attrition n’ayant pas conduit à un effondrement ukrainien. La dénazification, étendard pour parler de l’effacement du nationalisme ukrainien, est également un échec. Les nationalistes ukrainiens sont plus forts et décomplexés que jamais, représentant près de 100 000 hommes dans l’armée ukrainienne. Les figures antirusses controversées d’Europe centrale et orientale ont par ailleurs été réhabilitées. Empêcher l’OTAN et l’UE de s’étendre à l’Est était aussi un mirage. Bien que la considération eût été réelle, la Suède et la Finlande ont rejoint l’Alliance, tandis que la Moldavie, le Caucase du Sud, les Balkans occidentaux et l’Ukraine ont accéléré leur rapprochement avec l’Europe, tous brandissant la menace russe.

L’objectif russe est donc désormais d’installer la confrontation dans la durée, jusqu’à un effondrement hypothétique de l’aide à l’Ukraine (qui semble compromise par la dernière aide de l’UE), l’essoufflement de la population ukrainienne (une considération bien réelle mais qui n’impactera probablement pas la situation au front) ou une victoire à la Pyrrhus, que ce soit la prise du Donbass suivie d’un cessez-le-feu ou une capitulation de l’Ukraine comme la Finlande en 1940.

For months, Ukraine 🇺🇦 has been conducting a series of deep infiltrations on the Velika Novosilka front.

Some of Russia’s 2025 gains have already been reversed, with the February counter-attack expanding to a 40-kilometer front.

🧵THREAD🧵1/12 ⬇️

https://twitter.com/moklasen/status/2066093709360247128

As a reminder, in February, the Ukrainian army conducted a discreet offensive for several weeks, clearing infiltrated areas, securing Pokrovsk'e and infiltrating areas that were previously under Russian control.

The Ukrainian 🇺🇦 blocus of Crimea is starting 🇷🇺

After they repeatedly hit bridges connecting Crimea and occupied Kherson oblast, the Ukrainians started implementing a blocus of the peninsula.

Last night, trucks and a pontoon bridge were hit.

🧵THREAD🧵1/15 ⬇️ Last night, the Code 9.2, Phalanx and the davinci units launched multiple strikes against targets in and around the key roads leading to Crimea.

Last night, multiple Ukrainian 🇺🇦 units hit the bridges leading to Crimea, further isolating the peninsula from the land bridge to Russia 🇷🇺

At the same time, strike campaign continues on multiple key roads, with over 375 vehicles and trucks hit since early May.

🧵THREAD🧵1/13 ⬇️

https://x.com/clement_molin/status/2065091949833359402

Crimea is connected with southern occupied Ukraine by multiple key bridges.

The one in Chonhar was hit few days ago by multiple drones, which forced the russians to put up a pontoon bridge for their road traffic.

Ukraine 🇺🇦 continues its massive mid-range strike campaign against russian 🇷🇺 logistics.

Since early May, more than 290 russian trucks and vehicles have been hit. I have now mapped 210 strikes since january.

🧵THREAD🧵1/14 ⬇️ The strike campaign is guided by multiple units, using a large veriety of drones.

The backbone of it are the FP-1/2 strikes on key logistics hubs, mainly oil/fuel depots, trains, gas stations, electric substations and rear bases.

Those strikes are often guided with AI.

In southern Ukraine 🇺🇦, Russian 🇷🇺 forces continue their offensive from Hulialpole to Orikhiv, a strategic town

I mapped more than 1 400 Russian airstrikes, supporting multiple offensive axes in May, while Ukraine nearly finished its fortifications.

🧵THREAD🧵1/16 ⬇️ In May 2026, Russia conducted 7 486 airstrikes, I managed to locate 52% of those.

18% of those strikes are targeting ukrainian positions near Hulialpole. We can add as well 6% of related airstrikes in Novopavlivka and Zaporizhzhia areas.

Ukraine 🇺🇦 continues to launch an important number of mid-range strike, targeting Russian 🇷🇺 logistics in occupied territories

Since early may, more than 270 trucks have been hit, together with multiple fuel depots and trains.

🧵THREAD🧵1/14 ⬇️ In total, Ukraine 🇺🇦 striked around 270 trucks and vehicles more than 20km from the frontline since early may.

I still need to add earlier proofs, but this number is probably closer to 350-400 confirmed losses this year.

Did Nikol Pashinyan save Armenia 🇦🇲 from disappearing?

One week before historic parliamentary elections in which he leads the polls, the outgoing prime minister defends his record.

Russian 🇷🇺 interference in the country has been increasing recently.

🧵THREAD🧵1/19 ⬇️ In 2018, a popular uprising erupted in Armenia after President Serzh Sargsyan circumvented the constitution to secure his re-election as prime minister.

Riding the wave of the Velvet Revolution, Nikol Pashinyan arrived with a promise: to reduce corruption and the influence of the oligarchs.

Since the year started, Ukraine 🇺🇦 launched more than 1 000 mid-range drone strikes (only geolocated ones).

The intensification of strikes against russian 🇷🇺 logistics (150 vehicles, 30 trains, 400 warehouses) is a real game-changer in the war.

🧵THREAD🧵1/24 ⬇️ The ukrainian mid-range drone strike is quite recent. It started at the end of last year and quickly intensified in 2026.

Ukraine is using :
🔹Big fixed wings drones : FP-1/2
🔹Small fixed wings drones : Hornet/Bulava/RAM X...
🔹Short/Long range FPV.

Here 2 Hornet on a truck :

This morning, a continuous fid a videos from key roads in russian 🇷🇺 occupied territories allowed a large number of new geolocations.

I have now mapped 125 trucks hit on key roads, mostly in may, with more than 80 destroyed.

🧵THREAD🧵1/8 ⬇️ I geolocated two additionnal burned trucks north of Berdiansk :

46.866328, 36.760171

(red part is visible on more recent satellite images)

Across the weekend, Ukraine 🇺🇦 continued to harass Russian 🇷🇺 logistics routes along the Azov Sea and in Donetsk

Ukrainian strikes are beginning to pose a problem for Moscow, whose advance on the front has slowed this year.

🧵THREAD🧵1/15 ⬇️ This morning, @azov_media published a second video of their strikes around Mariupol, this time hitting around 20 military and fuel trucks between Mariupol and the russian border.

https://x.com/azov_media/status/2058821715979886861?s=20

New Map Update 🇺🇦/🇷🇺 💥

I updated the map of ukrainian middle strikes against trucks with some new geolocations and informations published today.

I have now ~15 confirmed hits on the Rostov-Crimea road and 30 confirmed hits on the Mariupol-Donetsk road + Donetsk ring. ⬇️ For now, we have mainly videos from these two roads. I've tryed to geolocate some videos from supply roads leading to Donetsk, but it's much more difficult, especially due to the quality of the images.

This video is useful, because they put the area hit:

https://x.com/414magyarbirds/status/2058168505334133216?s=20

In the Sloviansk direction, Russia 🇷🇺 launched 800 airstrikes this month in two directions, preparing the terrain for a larger offensive.

At the same time, Ukraine's third Azov Corps launched the first counter-attacks to cut the Lyman salient.

🧵THREAD🧵1/16 ⬇️ Few days ago, I posted an update on the Oskil front situation, depicting the most important assault roads used by russian troops.

On this update, you could see two ukrainian drone strikes located by @giK1893 in Pryshyb and Tetianivka, behind the Donets river.

Situation préoccupante à l'ouest d'Houlialpole dans le sud de l'Ukraine, où la Russie a lancé plus de 1 000 frappes aériennes ces 20 derniers jours.

La précision des frappes, environ 80%, et leur localisation montrent que l'armée russe met d'importants moyens dans la région. ⬇️ A titre de comparaison, voici les frappes aériennes durant le mois d'avril dans la zone :

Russia 🇷🇺 is shutting the Rostov-Crimea road for civilian traffic after multiple ukrainian 🇺🇦 strikes hit this critical road

More strikes are also hitting the Mariupol-Donetsk highway. Right now, all the land corridor to Crimea is threatened.

🧵THREAD🧵1/10 ⬇️

https://twitter.com/moklasen/status/2057560497466040790

This map is made thanks to multiple geolocations from : @99Dominik_ @blinzka @carse_n @dmitrij46839 @federicoborsar1 @franfran2424 @GarbuzYe @hochu_dodomu @klinger66 @Kukulkan415 @MaxximOSINT @moklasen @neonhandrail @AndrewPerpetua @NotWoofers @tom_bike @VyshnyaOstap (among others) and my own geolocations.

I have a total of 73 trucks hit since march, but I believe this is barely 20% of the real numbers, since most of the results are not filmed and multiple videos cannot be geolocalized.

These last 2 months, Ukraine 🇺🇦 dug 1 300 km of fortifications from Kyiv to Odesa

In the eastern part of the country, the AFU can now rely on 2 to 6 defensive lines, with kilometers of obstacle lines extending behind the front.

🧵THREAD🧵1/24⬇️ When we talked about fortifications in Ukraine from 2014 to 2024, we were talking about those large trenches in the middle of the fields.

Drone war has made those completely obsolete. I put here famous ones, try to find where they are :

Si l'armée ukrainienne frappe de plus en plus le territoire russe 🇷🇺, l'armée russe poursuit et intensifie sa campagne de frappes sur l'Ukraine.

Cette carte présente une bonne partie des frappes de drones longue portée et quelques missiles depuis janvier 2026.

🧵THREAD🧵1/11 ⬇️

https://twitter.com/clement_molin/status/2056058230518780048

Chaque jour, l'armée russe frappe le territoire ukrainien avec des centaines de drones kamikazes Shahed iranien (fabriqués en Russie sous le nom de Geran), mais aussi des leurres, comme les Gerbera ou les Parody.

On constate une augmentation progressive des frappes.

On Ukraine's 🇺🇦 southern front, Russian 🇷🇺 forces are pushing near Orikhiv, while ukrainian forces continue to launch cleaning operations.

The Russian army has intensified its attempts to push the front, while the ukrainians reinforced their fortifications.

🧵THREAD🧵1/13 ⬇️ The southern/south-esatern front of Ukraine is the one that saw the biggest change since 2024 started.

This front is currently the second most important for Russia (1st is Donbas, 3rd is the Oskil).

Maps in the thread are from @M0nstas's online map.

Behind the Oskil River, the Ukrainian 🇺🇦 army is still holding out in three pockets: Kupiansk, Borova, and Lyman.

The Russian 🇷🇺 army has intensified its infiltrations in Lyman and Kupiansk in recent weeks, using the cover of trees.

🧵THREAD🧵1/10 ⬇️ In four years, the Oskil front (named after the river crossed in October 2022) has barely moved.

Russian forces have mainly succeeded in advancing in three directions: toward Senkove, cutting the front in two; then toward Lyman, cutting it in three; and finally toward Dvorichna.

In the remaining Ukrainian 🇺🇦-controlled Donbas, Russia is currently pushing 3 offensives, on 3 key cities : Sloviansk, Kostiantynivka, and Dobropilla.

The Russian army has recently made some progress towards several key positions in the region.

🧵THREAD🧵1/14 ⬇️ The first direction is the Sloviansk one. After the fall of Siversk 6 months ago, russian forces have been slowly crawling towards Rai Oleksandrivka, a strategic height overlooking Sloviansk/Kramatorsk agglomeration.

They are slowly nearing Mykolaivka and Sloviansk itself.