Thread by @SaysSimulation

Worth watching. The rate of change is still accelerating.

Read an interesting article the other day about the "Middle Powers". The two Great Powers of today are the US & China. The Middle Powers are nations such as Germany, the UK & Canada. They are fearful & angry
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because as the World splits into competing geopolitical blocs, both Great Powers are dropping the facade of fair & equal competition among equal nations. Instead, both are openly wielding real power, and aren't acting like equal partners of the weaker nations.
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The Middle Powers are not at all happy about this, and some of them like Carney, Starmer & Macron are trying to put together a coalition that will allow their safe & artificial world to continue.

They want to trade among themselves, while building individual & collective
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national security, thereby counterbalancing those big, mean, rude Great Powers.

The world has changed greatly since 2021, and the changes by 2031 will be several times greater. Number one will be a simple less in reality for the Middle Powers.
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They can't put their old world back together again. They are militarily & financially weak. They will not be able to dominate the Global South, meaning they won't have privileged access to either the raw resources or the markets for industrial goods.
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I expect a series of disasters & humiliations. Not that I'm calling for these things, they will just be an inevitable part of adapting to the new reality, and their real status in the world.

The US & China are & will be the two economically dominant Great Powers,
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and the two militarily dominant Great Powers. As they compete, they won't be setting aside carve outs for lesser powers, the lesser powers will either play ball or get kicked to the curb.

Europe & Canada will likely each financially collapse, before reassembling under structures

more suitable for their new place in the world.

Now, in theory, Europe could become a rival third Great Power. Very logical looking at population & industry. In practice, this could never happen with their existing elites & governments.
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Their militarily weak welfare states that prey on their own native populations in favor of non-European immigranst swill be utterly incapable of making the needed economic & military changes.

With a wholesale political reset, with new leaders not even on the horizon,
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then Europe could become great again - but not this Europe. There will need to be process of destruction of Europe before it can be reforged into a new & more powerful Europe.

In the meantime, the corrupt old elites can play their games, but the clock is fast running out.
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