Austin Kocher, PhD Profile picture
I study the immigration enforcement system. Geographer. Prof. in @NewhouseSU at @SyracuseU & Fellow at @Immigration_Lab/@AU_CLALS.

Mar 13, 7 tweets

Latino voters are not just pushing back on Trump's immigration agenda, they're making it an electoral priority. Here's what the data shows, and why it matters heading into 2026

Trump's immigration enforcement approach is rejected by 86% of Hispanic voters, with only 14% supporting his hardline tactics. One-third of Latino voters specifically say ICE is "out of control." That's not a fringe view it's a supermajority.

According to Equis polling, immigration has surged to the #2 issue for Latino voters up threefold from October 2025 to February 2026. The economy still leads, but the speed of that shift is a serious warning sign for Republicans.

Latino voters reversed Trump's 2024 gains in a decisive way: turnout hit 2.3 million in the Texas Democratic primary (the strongest primary showing this decade) driven largely by Latinos mobilizing against Trump's immigration agenda.

Communities nationwide are also blocking Trump's $45 billion detention expansion. Under community pressure, property owners in Texas, Missouri, Virginia, and Utah canceled warehouse sales. At least 12 facilities have been stopped entirely, blocking nearly 48,000 detention beds.

Even Republicans are breaking ranks. Governor Kelly Ayotte (NH), Senator Roger Wicker (R-MS), & Rep. Mike Collins (R-GA) have publicly opposed new detention facilities in their districts. In Wilson County, TN, 24 of 25 commissioners voted against a proposed 16,000-bed mega-center

This is what grassroots accountability looks like at the ballot box and in the county commission chambers. Want deeper analysis on how immigration enforcement is playing out across the country? Follow me on Substack: austinkocher.substack.com

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