This passage:
"Lebanese security forces reportedly seized 1 truck last June carrying 5,000 explosive drones..."
...is the heart of why I say that the US Army & USMC ground troops will bleed heavily in their first real drone war.
Drone War🧵
Each of those 5,000 Hezbollah drones is individually far more lethal than a dumb 155mm shell, and a 5-ton truck can carry only 176 of them.
Each of those 5,000 drone can kill a truck carrying those 176 shells.
2/
You simply can't hide from drones like you can from a shell.
It will follow you inside hard cover with a thermobaric warhead.
There is no safe space on the battlefield unless you build one with fishing nets and drone jammers.
3/
In Jan 2011, the GAO estimated 250,000 5.56mm rounds were needed to kill one Taliban insurgent.
At 63 cents each, 250,000 5.56mm costs $157,500.
Assuming 3 FPV to kill, 30 FPV to get three hits, and $300 per FPV, that is $9,000 to kill a US soldier or marine with FPV's.
4/
The problem for US enlisted is we have a generation of counter-insurgency (COIN) borne and bread flag rank leaders whose entire career experience is "negative value added" in dealing with peer-to-peer warfare with drones.
And they are too hide-bound to listen.
Receipt⬇️
5/5
@threadreaderapp unroll please
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