ChrisO_wiki Profile picture
Independent military history author and researcher. Coffee tips are appreciated! https://t.co/t1EjNrIZ2c Now also at https://t.co/4qGQ2ffHJJ

May 10, 13 tweets

1/ With Donald Trump ("our Trumpushka") increasingly seen as irrelevant to the war in Ukraine, Russian warbloggers are increasingly calling for "demonstrative strikes" on the EU, UK and Canada to force them to cease support for Ukraine and negotiate a peace settlement. ⬇️

2/ On 15 April 2026, Russia’s Ministry of Defence published detailed lists of European companies and facilities it claimed were producing strike drones (UAVs) and components for Ukraine. It explicitly framed these joint production sites as "potential targets".

3/ This has led to calls from Russian warbloggers to attack the facilities. Alexey Zhivov posted a particularly lurid example of this a couple of weeks ago (see thread below). 'Pint of Reason' provides a strategic rationale for Russia to do so.

4/ "The European Union is gradually becoming a significant player in global politics, and the war in Ukraine is the primary instrument of this process. During this conflict, the Brussels bureaucracy is demonstrating its independence from the United States on political…

5/ …and military matters. At the same time, experience shows that Washington has little desire or ability to oppose the European Union, which also includes the United Kingdom and Canada [sic].

6/ "This is precisely why the agreements between Putin and Trump in Anchorage failed: Brussels couldn't care less about Washington's views and is pursuing a completely independent approach to the Ukrainian issue. After some hesitation, Zelenskyy has fully sided with Europe…

7/ …and is demonstratively defying the American side. Both he and his European allies clearly view Donald Trump as a lame duck and are banking on a crushing defeat for the Republicans in the midterm congressional elections in November.

8/ "Under these circumstances, relying on negotiations with the United States is pointless, and Russian officials' declarations of loyalty to the "spirit of Anchorage" and the "Anchorage understanding" only discredit them in the eyes of the international community and appear…

9/ …as a clear sign of weakness. If there's anyone with whom to negotiate a settlement of the conflict in Ukraine, it's the European Union, which has become Kyiv's main donor and military backbone.

10/ "Such negotiations are necessary, but they must begin from a position of strength and a demonstrated commitment.

11/ "To achieve this, before entering into negotiations—and they should concern not only Ukraine (which is generally a secondary issue) but also the new European security architecture—European allies must be shown their vulnerability in terms of security.

12/ "This means launching demonstrative attacks on EU enterprises working for Ukraine's military production, while using nuclear weapons as a shield from retaliation. Otherwise, no one in Europe will negotiate with Russia.

13/ "A serious diplomatic process will only begin if the Brussels bureaucracy recognizes the security threat [from Russia], and not otherwise." /end

Source:
t.me/pintofmind/4756

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