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Independent military history author and researcher. Coffee tips are appreciated! https://t.co/t1EjNrIZ2c Now also at https://t.co/4qGQ2ffHJJ
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Nov 28 9 tweets 2 min read
1/ Whatever the legality of the strikes as a whole, this incident is very clearly a war crime (if you accept that these are combatants). 2/ Specifically under the 1949 Geneva Convention:

"Rule 47. Attacking persons who are recognized as hors de combat is prohibited. A person hors de combat is:...

(b) anyone who is defenceless because of unconsciousness, shipwreck, wounds or sickness...
Nov 28 10 tweets 2 min read
1/ Wounded soldiers in Russia's 51st Army say they have been banned from going back to Russia for medical treatment. Instead, they're sent straight back, unhealed, to the fighting. "Tie a crutch to his leg and let him go to the front line," one commander has reportedly said. ⬇️ Image 2/ The 51st Guards Combined Arms Army, currently fighting at Pokrovsk, is a Russian formation that was originally created in the 'Donetsk People's Republic' as its 1st Army Corps. It has attracted a reputation for brutality and the careless expenditure of the lives of its men.
Nov 28 24 tweets 3 min read
1/ Hardline Russian nationalists and war supporters have reacted with hostility to the Dmitriev-Witkoff peace proposals. Igor 'Strelkov' Girkin's detailed critique is of particular interest, as it is likely representative of this powerful faction's views. ⬇️ Image 2/ Girkin's comments provide an insight into the fine line that Putin is having to walk between reaching a settlement that he can accept and one that the hardliners will accept. Putin likely agrees with many of their objections, but knows that they are unachievable.
Nov 27 22 tweets 5 min read
1/ Igor 'Strelkov' Girkin is sceptical of "the mega-crook Donald and his cronies" and is confident there won't be a peace deal soon. In a fresh missive from prison, he draws attention to the Zaporizhzhia front, but says that Russia is unable to exploit successes there. ⬇️ Image 2/ Replying to an earlier letter from a friend, he comments:

"Now we have yet another “sweet expectation of a quick and inevitable deal” (that is, a “compromise”), inspired by the statements of the mega-crook Donald and his cronies."
Nov 27 13 tweets 3 min read
1/ Russian State Duma deputy and surgeon Badma Bashankaev boasts that wounded Russian soldiers enjoy a 96% survival rate. Russian warbloggers point out, however, that only the lightly wounded usually get treated; most seriously injured Russians die on the battlefield. ⬇️ Image 2/ Badma Bashankaev is a fervent supporter of Russia's war effort and represents Putin's United Russia party in the State Duma. He has recently appeared in an interview with state news agency TASS speaking about Russia's ostensible success in treating wounded soldiers. Image
Nov 26 7 tweets 2 min read
1/ While Russia is making incremental advances in the Zaporizhzhia region, Russian soldiers say that it's resulting in carnage among their units. Conditions at Stepnohirsk are said to be dire, with entire battalions virtually wiped out. ⬇️
2/ Russian soldiers fighting at Stepnohirsk on the road to Zaporizhzhia city have told the 'Brothers in Arms' Telegram channel that "the situation there is, to put it mildly, dire." Image
Nov 26 26 tweets 4 min read
1/ Igor 'Strelkov' Girkin warns from his jail cell that Ukraine and the EU have no reason to accept the Dmitriev-Witkoff proposals to end the war, because Russia is currently incapable of inflicting a strategic defeat on Ukraine, despite local tactical victories. ⬇️ Image 2/ The imprisoned Girkin has posted a lengthy analysis of the context of the 28-point plan (he says that he has not yet read the full content of the points, "which our media modestly remained silent about").
Nov 26 13 tweets 3 min read
1/ Russian soldiers are complaining that if they fall foul of military regulations in any way – such as having only 1 litre of water in their car instead of 2, or wearing a non-regulation patch – they face being arrested by the military police and forced into an assault squad. ⬇️ Image 2/ The notoriously corrupt Russian military police have been hated and feared by Russian soldiers throughout the Ukraine war for their brutality and larceny. To the soldiers' frustration, they are now reportedly dragging men off to die in assault squads for petty infractions.
Nov 24 8 tweets 2 min read
1/ Why have so many supposedly MAGA accounts on X been exposed as being based in Nigeria? The answer may be linked to the unfortunate coincidence that the word "maga" in Nigerian Pidgin English means "a gullible person, a fool, or the unsuspecting victim of a scam". ⬇️ Image 2/ "Maga" is widely believed to have evolved from the Yoruba word "múgùn" (or "mugu"), which translates to someone who can be easily manipulated or used as a "ladder to reach the top".

Calling someone a "maga" is an insult, implying they are simple, easily controlled, or naive.
Nov 24 7 tweets 2 min read
1/ A Russian soldier recruited under duress from a penal colony says that his unit has suffered 97% casualties in recent assaults, with a constant supply of new cannon fodder arriving and dying immediately. "They fucking keep replenishing, replenishing, replenishing," he says. ⬇️ 2/ The man, who identifies himself as Ramzan, says that he was serving a sentence in a penal colony when he was brutally forced to sign a military contract by a "camp boss" – another prisoner who was working for the prison management.
Nov 22 7 tweets 2 min read
1/ The Kyiv Independent is reporting that Trump envoy Steve Witkoff is "running a shadow operation inside the White House in an effort to sideline pro-Ukraine officials", cutting out Secretary of State Marco Rubio, in an effort supported by Vice President J.D. Vance. ⬇️ Image 2/ According to sources quoted by the Kyiv Independent, Witkoff is "running a broader operation with [Russian envoy Kirill] Dmitriev, trying to sideline the pro-Ukraine voices in the Trump administration."
Nov 22 17 tweets 4 min read
1/ Russian lawyers say that gamers could face up to six years in prison or charges of treason if they stream S.T.A.L.K.E.R. 2 or wear a S.T.A.L.K.E.R. T-shirt, following the Russian government's designation of its Ukrainian developers as an 'undesirable organisation'. ⬇️ 2/ The Russian Prosecutor General's Office added Kyiv-based GSC Game World to its list of 'undesirable organisations' on 18 November. The developer relocated many of its staff to Prague after the full-scale Russian invasion began in February 2022.
Nov 22 11 tweets 2 min read
1/ Vladimir Putin is reported to be unhappy with the proposed Witkoff-Dimitriev peace plan for Ukraine. "Trump is in a hurry, and Vladimir Vladimirovich is not so much," says a Russian source. ⬇️ 2/ The independent Russian news outlet Verstka reports that Russian diplomatic sources and sources close to the Kremlin consider the draft agreement to be "vague, in need of revision, and not fully implementable." They see it as merely a basis for a future agreement.
Nov 22 57 tweets 20 min read
When an American billionaire offers money to people from relatively poor countries (Serbian average monthly salary $1,329) for riling up and radicalising Americans, it's not surprising that they'll take up the offer
Nov 21 16 tweets 3 min read
1/ In 2024, Vladimir Putin created a new programme called 'Time of Heroes' to train Russian soldiers and war veterans to be part of a "new elite" to lead Russia in the future. However, soldiers are finding that they are being declared to be deserters if they enroll in it. ⬇️ Image 2/ The 'Time of Heroes' programme was launched on 1 March 2024 after a speech by Putin in which he declared that participants in the Russian invasion of Ukraine should be given training to occupy leadership positions in the Russian government and state institutions.
Nov 21 30 tweets 6 min read
1/ Corrupt Russian military recruiters, police officers, local administrations, and – allegedly – drug dealers are said to be conspiring to recruit drug addicts, alcoholics and the mentally disabled to join the army, likely to profit from bounties and recruitment bonuses. ⬇️ Image 2/ Russian warblogger Anastasia Kashevarova has published a denunciation of what she calls "discrediting the army in the rear by its own people." She describes how people who are completely unsuited to military service are ending up in the army:
Nov 20 26 tweets 5 min read
1/ Russian warblogger Roman Alekhin is very upset with @olliecarroll's recent piece in The Economist on infighting between Russian pro-war commentators. Some – including Alekhin – have been declared 'foreign agents' after falling out with the Kremlin. ⬇️
2/ Writing on his Telegram channel, Alekhin complains that the Economist had the cheek to lead the story with his own mugshot:
Nov 19 7 tweets 2 min read
1/ The US has secretly been working with Russia to develop a new peace plan for Ukraine, according to a report in Axios. The 28-point plan is said to cover peace in Ukraine, security guarantees, security in Europe, and future US relations with Russia and Ukraine. ⬇️ Image 2/ Axios reports that Trump's envoy Steve Witkoff has been working with his Russian counterpark Kirill Dmitriev to develop the plan, apparently without Ukrainian or European input, with European officials only now being briefed on it.
Nov 19 9 tweets 3 min read
1/ Russian soldiers say they are being minimally equipped and told to scavenge supplies from corpses in infiltration missions in which most of them will be killed. Artillerymen and drone operators are being expended as stormtroopers. ⬇️ Image 2/ An exchange of short comments between Russian warbloggers who are fighting in Ukraine highlights the realities of Russia's current tactic of sending small, minimally equipped groups of men to infiltrate Ukrainian positions in the face of omnipresent drones.
Nov 17 19 tweets 5 min read
1/ This video of two Russian soldiers being abused by their commander highlights the violence and cruelty now endemic in the Russian army. The unit in question provides a microcosm of how this has now become routine after three and a half years of war.
2/ According to a soldier of the 30th Motorised Rifle Regiment who filmed one man being repeatedly shot with an air rifle and another being put naked into an open-air pit or zindan, "the company commander regularly uses such punishments against undesirable soldiers."
Nov 17 22 tweets 5 min read
1/ Igor 'Strelkov' Girkin warns that Russia's recent tactical successes around Pokrovsk and elsewhere are likely to have little effect on the overall trajectory of the war in Ukraine, unless Russia is willing to commit fully to the total defeat and dismemberment of Ukraine. ⬇️ Image 2/ Girkin has issued a fresh letter from a B̵i̵r̵m̵i̵n̵g̵h̵a̵m̵ Kirovo-Chepetsk jail and (somehow, probably by text messages) has given an interview to the Russian news outlet RTVI, giving his current assessment of the state of the war.