This⬇️
>>In total, I have more than 100 mapped hits on russian logistical means.
...means a lot in terms of truck attrition.
100 killed out of a truck fleet of projected 2,500 on this route is 4% of the total.
1/
Ukrainian military intelligence estimated Kamaz made 15,000 trucks from Feb 2022 to early 2026.
Call that period 49 months, and that's a Truck production rate of 300 a month.
100 trucks killed in a couple of months is "normal wastage."
2/
A hundred Russian trucks, with a high proportions of fuel tankers and wreckers concentrated on one or two supply roads or a single road junction in a couple of weeks is a horse of a different color.
That is anti-access area denial (A2AD) on a stick.
3/
Ukrainian mid-range drone campaign of priority targeting/hitting Russian fuel trucks and wreckers in occupied southern Ukraine has incredible knock on effects in terms of denying fuel for Russian radio communications and water for troop survival.
4/4
@threadreaderapp unroll please
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