Thread by @kabir_here

Wow, less than 100 votes currently separating Lamb and Saccone in #PA18

Allegheny has reported its absentee votes -- Lamb won about 62% of them

Still waiting on absentee results in Westmoreland. Washington County just informed us they're also counting absentees tonight, but it might take a few hours...

With Westmoreland now fully counted, including absentees, Lamb leads by 579 votes district-wide in #PA18

As in Allegheny County, Lamb did better in the absentee vote than in the election day vote

Waiting for Washington County to report its absentee results, but if the current trend holds -- i.e., Lamb does about 5 points better in the absentee vote than on election day -- it won't make much difference to the results there or district-wide.

With Washington absentees finally counted, Lamb’s district-wide lead is now up to 641 votes. Once again, he did 5 points better in absentee vote. Greene, the last county, will report the results of their approximately 200 absentee ballots later today.

Greene just reported its absentees: Lamb lead down to 627 votes #PA18

All that’s left to count are provisional and military/overseas ballots. We’re waiting to hear how many there are, but they’re unlikely to make much of a dent in the current margin in #PA18

Here's a visualization of the bigger drop-off in turnout among GOP than among Democrats in #PA18. Democrats consistently came closer to matching 2016 turnout than Republicans did. (Circles sized proportional to overall turnout in precinct.)

Lamb's vote share wasn't really correlated with precinct-level turnout in #PA18. The question is how many Trump voters, many of whom were registered Democrats, did Lamb win over...